[net.misc] is this it?

mem (10/20/82)

c
Regarding the concept of a race that is evolutionarily intellectually
superior to us:  Do you think that human intelligence will advance
phylogenically?  There is a concept called gerontomorphosis which says
that the evolution of a race stagnates as the race becomes more
specialized and especially as selective breeding ceases to play a
part in the survival of the race.  No... this isn't a case against
welfare.  Or is it?

Mark E. Mallett

bcw (10/21/82)

From:	Bruce C. Wright @ Duke University
Re:	Intelligence and mutations

Mark Mallett brings up the question of whether human intelligence (and
presumably alien intelligence as well) might not have stagnated.  This
has probably been true for the past 50,000 years or so (man has been able
to significantly modify his environment for something on this order of
time), since there probably hasn't been too much selection pressure
(in a relative sense) during that time.  But if our understanding of
things like the workings of the brain and artificial intelligence continue
at their present rate, we will before very long be able to directly
modify intelligence.  Selection and evolution arguments really don't
matter very much if the race can directly modify it the characteristic
under consideration.

As for DNA being "programmed" to mutate, this sounds suspicious.  The
differences between the DNA for humans and apes only has about 2% or
less different.  It is unclear that this 2% difference was caused by
any type of classical mutation (micromutation or macromutation), it is
probable that much of the difference is recombination.  Many people have
the impression that evolution proceeds by the selection of new mutations;
in reality, mutations are relatively rare, and most evolution proceeds by
the selection of new *combinations*.

Finally, I am far from convinced that it is really possible to design
an error correcting code which will be guaranteed to remain intact for
20,000,000,000 years (guess of remaining lifetime of the universe) for
all of 1e15 robots (give or take a few million) - unless the code is
so costly that the time to compute it is of cosmological scale.  Without
such a guarantee it is possible to imagine the mutations and selection
to take place in a manner not too unlike life on earth, which is exactly
what some of the other readers have been worried about.

			Bruce C. Wright @ Duke University

bcw (10/21/82)

References: sii.178
From:	Bruce C. Wright @ Duke University
Re:	Intelligence and mutations

Mark Mallett brings up the question of whether human intelligence (and
presumably alien intelligence as well) might not have stagnated.  This
has probably been true for the past 50,000 years or so (man has been able
to significantly modify his environment for something on this order of
time), since there probably hasn't been too much selection pressure
(in a relative sense) during that time.  But if our understanding of
things like the workings of the brain and artificial intelligence continue
at their present rate, we will before very long be able to directly
modify intelligence.  Selection and evolution arguments really don't
matter very much if the race can directly modify the characteristic
under consideration.

As for DNA being "programmed" to mutate, this sounds suspicious.  The
differences between the DNA for humans and apes only has about 2% or
less different.  It is unclear that this 2% difference was caused by
any type of classical mutation (micromutation or macromutation), it is
probable that much of the difference is recombination.  Many people have
the impression that evolution proceeds by the selection of new mutations;
in reality, mutations are relatively rare, and most evolution proceeds by
the selection of new *combinations*.

Finally, I am far from convinced that it is really possible to design
an error correcting code which will be guaranteed to remain intact for
20,000,000,000 years (guess of remaining lifetime of the universe) for
all of 1e15 robots (give or take a few million) - unless the code is
so costly that the time to compute it is of cosmological scale.  Without
such a guarantee it is possible to imagine the mutations and selection
to take place in a manner not too unlike life on earth, which is exactly
what some of the other readers have been worried about.

			Bruce C. Wright @ Duke University

raz (10/21/82)

Actually, I've believed for some time that evolution is continuing even
among the (so-called) human race.
Granted, except for comic books, we are not going to get much taller
(or get a third eye), but the basic proportions of the population have
been shifting towards those areas which the ECONOMY provides as niches.

To avoid flames which would cast negative inference upon my ancestry, I
refuse to speculate whether or not designating a significant percentage
of the economy to Welfare is guiding evolution.  My point is that
evolution is guided by the environment.  While we can control the elements
(to the degree of shelter), and ship in food-stuffs;  those who can
live best within our environment (or best manipulate it) are those who will
survive longer, and will get the better chance to pass on his/her genes.

				Never afraid to sign the name of the
				fellow whose account I use:
				Robert A Zimmermann