[net.misc] too smart for ESP

dir (02/15/83)

"I really find it hard to accept that ANYONE who is competent enough to
 use a computer system really believes in parapsychology." ... eagle!karn

Karn's statement implies
a. that people who use computers are competent (presumably intelligent, 
   well-read, open-minded, etc.),
b. that competent people would not believe in parapsychology
   because they are too smart, and
c. that parapsychology is something that one believes in.

Implication (a) is false: anyone can use a 
	computer with sufficient instruction.
Implication (b) is false: there is always someone smarter 
	than you or I who will believe that some 
	parapsychological phenomena are real.
Implication (c) is false: parapsychology is a method of study, not
	a belief system.

I wonder how many net readers would change their mind about
ESP if 80% of the Nobel Prize winners expressed belief in ESP.
We are swayed by scientific peer pressure to an amazing degree. 

D. Radin - Bell Labs Columbus

karn (02/16/83)

Regarding cbosg!dir's comments on ESP and parapsychology:

	"I really find it hard to accept that ANYONE who is competent enough to
	 use a computer system really believes in parapsychology." ... eagle!karn

	Karn's statement implies
	a. that people who use computers are competent (presumably intelligent, 
	   well-read, open-minded, etc.),
	b. that competent people would not believe in parapsychology
	   because they are too smart, and
	c. that parapsychology is something that one believes in.
	
	Implication (a) is false: anyone can use a 
		computer with sufficient instruction.

Agreed; I had second thoughts about this one as soon as I posted the
article.  Considering that more CPU cycles are spent these days on games
than on all other uses combined, this is a very weak test for scientific
competence.  Perhaps I should have said "..competent enough to use
netnews...", well, maybe not.

	Implication (b) is false: there is always someone smarter 
		than you or I who will believe that some 
		parapsychological phenomena are real.

But for each person smarter than you or I who believe in parapsychology,
I could probably find you ten who are dumber.  In any event, an argument
based solely on numbers of believers is worthless.  "Reality" is
independent of the number of people who engage in wishful thinking.
The scientific method depends more on strict adherence to a set of rules
designed to minimize the effects of human fallability (e.g., an emotional
stake in the outcome.)  Even smart people are subject to human failings
from time to time.

	Implication (c) is false: parapsychology is a method of study, not
		a belief system.

Given that parapsychology requires that rational, methodical research
techniques be ignored (otherwise there would be little to study), there
isn't much left besides unfounded beliefs.

	I wonder how many net readers would change their mind about
	ESP if 80% of the Nobel Prize winners expressed belief in ESP.
	We are swayed by scientific peer pressure to an amazing degree. 

The number of believers would not sway me.  A large number of
independent, rigorously conducted double-blind experiments, with open
scrutiny and publication of the techniques and results, showing conclusive
evidence of psi WOULD sway me.  So far this hasn't happened; when it does,
I'll believe.

Perhaps PSI research SHOULD be funded and continued; it provides an insight
into the fallibilities of the human mind that cannot be obtained in any other
way.

Phil Karn

trb (02/16/83)

Re: people who are too smart to believe in what they don't understand

	Well, ya see, when we want to make babies we go out and buy all
	the raw materials, and then we have all these complicated
	manufacturing processes to produce the different organs on
	assembly lines.  The Japanese do it with robots, but we use
	mostly manual labor.  Then we put 'em all together and of
	course we do all these quality assurance tests on 'em to make
	sure we have the finest product available...

Sounds credible enough.  There is a great deal of wondrous truth which
I don't understand, even more that I couldn't understand even if I tried.

	Andy Tannenbaum   Bell Labs  Whippany, NJ   (201) 386-6491

ka (02/16/83)

Radin is nit-picking.

a) Users of computers are *generally* intelligent.  The claim that
   "anyone can use a computer with sufficient instruction" may be true
   for *some* definitions of "use."

b) I don't know of any data showing who believes in parapsychology, but
   it seems reasonable (to me) to assume that anyone who believes in
   parapsychology lacks the ability to evaluate its claims, and thus is
   *likely* have limited abilities to accomplish other intellectual tasks.

c) Parapsychology is not a "method of study" by any definition *I* have
   ever encountered.  Perhaps it is a "field of study", but many people
   seem to treat it as a "belief system."

Yes, I might change my mind about ESP if 80% of the Nobel Prize winners
believed in ESP.  This is not "peer pressure".  I rely on the statements
of others for all of my information about this subject; thus if other
people's opinions change, naturally mine will also.
					Kenneth Almquist