presley (03/31/83)
The following are excerpts from an article in the June 7, 1972
"ComputerWorld" article. I thought it might be interesting to look back and
see what's changed.
There will be one supplier of computing equipment by 1980 -- IBM,
Dr. Herbert Grosch said at a recent ACM chapter meeting here
[Seattle].
The U.S. Department of Justice, he said, is simply outgunned...
[re the IBM antitrust suit]
He analyzed IBM's competition:
o NCR is "smiling but fading," and "will not invest in new
generational development."
o Burroughs is "touchy," a potential survivor unless they have
troubles with one of their large English bank customers, which he
thinks they will.
o Honeywell and Univac both have "half of their corporate expense in
computing," a danger point in corporate balance.
o CDC is quite dependent on war/space decisions.
But none will last until 1980. "The weaklings," he said, "will drop out
in the next 2-3 years."
By the end of the decade, Grosch said, IBM will be bigger than GM and
Bell Telephone are today.