[mod.newslists] USENET READERSHIP SUMMARY REPORT FOR JUN 86

reid@decwrl.UUCP (07/01/86)

USENET READERSHIP SUMMARY REPORT for Jun 86

This is a monthly posting from the USENET Measurement Project at the DEC
Western Research Laboratory in Palo Alto, California. 

This survey is based on a sample of data taken from various USENET sites.
At the end of this message there is a short explanation of the measurement
techniques and the meaning of the various statistics.

The complete set of readership data (of which this is a summary) is posted
in mod.newslists

			Brian Reid
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Recent change: crossposted messages are now counted only in the first
newsgroup in the list. For example, a message posted like this:
	Newsgroups: net.politics,net.religion.jewish
will be counted in net.politics only.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------



OVERALL SUMMARY:
                             This            Estimated
                            Sample         for entire net
Sites:                      376                 1724
Fraction reporting:       21.81%              100.00%
Users with accounts:      49170               225000
Netreaders:               10935                50000

Average readers per site:                          29
Percent of users who are netreaders:            22.24%
Average traffic per day (megabytes):            1.580
Average traffic per day (messages):               675
Traffic measurement interval:    last              21 days
Readership measurement interval: last              75 days

TOP 40 NEWSGROUPS IN ORDER BY POPULARITY
       +-- Estimated total number of people who read the group, worldwide.
       |     +-- Actual number of readers in sampled population
       |     |     +-- Recent traffic, in messages per month. 
       |     |     |     +-- Recent traffic, in kilobytes per month.
       |     |     |     |       +-- Participation ratio: msgs/month/Krdrs
       |     |     |     |       |     +-- Cost ratio: $US/month/reader
       |     |     |     |       |     |      +-- Rating: % of all users who
       |     |     |     |       |     |      |   read this group.
       |     |     |     |       |     |      |       +-- Share: % newsreaders
       |     |     |     |       |     |      |       |   who read this group.
       V     V     V     V       V     V      V       V
  1 11000  2607   24   35.7      2   0.01    5.3%   23.8%  net.general
  2 11000  2600    4   11.6      0   0.00    5.3%   23.8%  net.announce
  3 10000  2432  582  655.1     58   0.25    4.9%   22.2%  net.jokes
  4  8100  1967  182 1524.7     22   0.71    4.0%   18.0%  net.sources
  5  6700  1632  110  276.1     16   0.15    3.3%   14.9%  net.jobs
  6  6600  1604   47 1481.3      7   0.84    3.3%   14.7%  mod.sources
  7  5300  1293  985 1665.1    185   1.20    2.6%   11.8%  net.singles
  8  5300  1288  358  603.4     67   0.43    2.6%   11.8%  net.unix
  9  5100  1242  290  541.0     56   0.40    2.5%   11.4%  net.unix-wizards
 10  5100  1241  190  295.5     37   0.22    2.5%   11.3%  net.micro
 11  5100  1235  108  111.4     21   0.08    2.5%   11.3%  net.wanted
 12  4800  1162  167  201.9     34   0.16    2.4%   10.6%  net.rumor
 13  4800  1161  212  303.1     44   0.24    2.4%   10.6%  net.audio
 14  4800  1152   70 1723.9     14   1.40    2.3%   10.5%  net.sources.games
 15  4700  1128    4    9.3      0   0.01    2.3%   10.3%  mod.newprod
 16  4500  1091   25   49.5      5   0.04    2.2%   10.0%  net.ai
 17  4400  1073  350  767.1     79   0.66    2.2%    9.8%  net.micro.pc
 18  4400  1055   18   74.5      4   0.06    2.1%    9.6%  net.announce.arpa-i
 19  4300  1050  350  594.9     81   0.52    2.1%    9.6%  net.lang.c
 20  4300  1050   41   82.0      9   0.07    2.1%    9.6%  net.sources.bugs
 21  4200  1016  305  719.1     72   0.64    2.1%    9.3%  net.arch
 22  4100  1001  394  670.8     96   0.62    2.0%    9.2%  net.movies
 23  4000   968   90  120.5     22   0.11    2.0%    8.9%  net.graphics
 24  4000   962    2    3.9      0   0.00    2.0%    8.8%  mod.human-nets
 25  4000   959  152  222.6     38   0.21    2.0%    8.8%  net.consumers
 26  4000   958   75  124.3     18   0.12    1.9%    8.8%  net.news
 27  3900   947  391  762.9    100   0.74    1.9%    8.7%  net.micro.mac
 28  3800   932  222  329.9     58   0.33    1.9%    8.5%  net.cooks
 29  3800   925   47   63.5     12   0.06    1.9%    8.5%  net.sources.d
 30  3700   905  578  980.3    156   1.00    1.8%    8.3%  net.music
 31  3700   891    1    4.3      0   0.00    1.8%    8.1%  mod.os.unix
 32  3600   868  420  739.6    116   0.77    1.8%    7.9%  net.auto
 33  3600   863  397  925.8    110   0.97    1.8%    7.9%  net.women
 34  3600   861   74  111.4     20   0.12    1.8%    7.9%  net.misc
 35  3500   853   68   64.6     19   0.07    1.7%    7.8%  net.wanted.sources
 36  3400   827  110  222.0     32   0.25    1.7%    7.6%  net.books
 37  3400   820  214  470.8     63   0.52    1.7%    7.5%  net.followup
 38  3400   817  451  882.3    132   0.98    1.7%    7.5%  net.micro.amiga
 39  3400   817   35   49.0     10   0.05    1.7%    7.5%  net.columbia
 40  3400   813   32   43.5      9   0.05    1.7%    7.4%  net.jokes.d

TOP 40 NEWSGROUPS IN ORDER BY PER-READER COST
       +-- Estimated total number of people who read the group, worldwide.
       |     +-- Actual number of readers in sampled population
       |     |     +-- Recent traffic, in messages per month. 
       |     |     |     +-- Recent traffic, in kilobytes per month.
       |     |     |     |       +-- Participation ratio: msgs/month/Krdrs
       |     |     |     |       |     +-- Cost ratio: $US/month/reader
       |     |     |     |       |     |      +-- Rating: % of all users who
       |     |     |     |       |     |      |   read this group.
       |     |     |     |       |     |      |       +-- Share: % newsreaders
       |     |     |     |       |     |      |       |   who read this group.
       V     V     V     V       V     V      V       V
  1   640   155   61  591.8     95   3.50    0.3%    1.4%  mod.comp-soc
  2  1700   418  478 1021.2    281   2.30    0.9%    3.8%  net.philosophy
  3  1300   312  177  753.3    136   2.20    0.6%    2.9%  net.religion.christ
  4  2000   475  215 1068.8    107   2.00    1.0%    4.3%  net.micro.atari16
  5  2200   533  378  969.5    172   1.70    1.1%    4.9%  net.politics
  6   880   213  160  407.4    181   1.70    0.4%    1.9%  net.politics.theory
  7  4800  1152   70 1723.9     14   1.40    2.3%   10.5%  net.sources.games
  8  5300  1293  985 1665.1    185   1.20    2.6%   11.8%  net.singles
  9  1800   438  280  572.6    155   1.20    0.9%    4.0%  net.comics
 10  3200   786  541  970.6    169   1.10    1.6%    7.2%  net.sf-lovers
 11  1600   386  140  465.2     87   1.10    0.8%    3.5%  net.religion
 12  1400   346  211  412.4    151   1.10    0.7%    3.2%  net.tv.drwho
 13  1300   318  201  375.7    154   1.10    0.6%    2.9%  net.nlang.india
 14  3700   905  578  980.3    156   1.00    1.8%    8.3%  net.music
 15  3400   817  451  882.3    132   0.98    1.7%    7.5%  net.micro.amiga
 16  3600   863  397  925.8    110   0.97    1.8%    7.9%  net.women
 17  3300   809   54  806.3     16   0.92    1.6%    7.4%  net.sources.mac
 18  6600  1604   47 1481.3      7   0.84    3.3%   14.7%  mod.sources
 19  1400   331  130  293.5     92   0.79    0.7%    3.0%  net.sport.hoops
 20  3600   868  420  739.6    116   0.77    1.8%    7.9%  net.auto
 21  1300   311   15  267.3     12   0.77    0.6%    2.8%  mod.politics.arms-d
 22  1400   341   92  283.1     66   0.76    0.7%    3.1%  net.origins
 23  1800   439  154  359.8     85   0.75    0.9%    4.0%  net.games.frp
 24  3900   947  391  762.9    100   0.74    1.9%    8.7%  net.micro.mac
 25  1700   413  104  323.3     61   0.72    0.8%    3.8%  net.abortion
 26  8100  1967  182 1524.7     22   0.71    4.0%   18.0%  net.sources
 27  1700   416  130  313.8     76   0.69    0.8%    3.8%  net.ham-radio
 28  4400  1073  350  767.1     79   0.66    2.2%    9.8%  net.micro.pc
 29  2300   569  214  404.8     93   0.66    1.2%    5.2%  net.video
 30  4200  1016  305  719.1     72   0.64    2.1%    9.3%  net.arch
 31  2700   653  145  450.8     53   0.63    1.3%    6.0%  net.sci
 32  4100  1001  394  670.8     96   0.62    2.0%    9.2%  net.movies
 33  2900   713   20  480.2      6   0.62    1.5%    6.5%  mod.newslists
 34  2000   481  197  331.4     98   0.62    1.0%    4.4%  net.pets
 35  1400   337    5  212.7      4   0.57    0.7%    3.1%  mod.mag.otherrealms
 36   510   124   52   75.9    103   0.56    0.3%    1.1%  net.music.makers
 37  1400   344  127  199.6     90   0.54    0.7%    3.1%  net.sport.baseball
 38  4300  1050  350  594.9     81   0.52    2.1%    9.6%  net.lang.c
 39  3400   820  214  470.8     63   0.52    1.7%    7.5%  net.followup
 40  2500   598  132  327.4     53   0.49    1.2%    5.5%  net.kids

TOP 40 NEWSGROUPS IN ORDER BY MESSAGES PER READER
       +-- Estimated total number of people who read the group, worldwide.
       |     +-- Actual number of readers in sampled population
       |     |     +-- Recent traffic, in messages per month. 
       |     |     |     +-- Recent traffic, in kilobytes per month.
       |     |     |     |       +-- Participation ratio: msgs/month/Krdrs
       |     |     |     |       |     +-- Cost ratio: $US/month/reader
       |     |     |     |       |     |      +-- Rating: % of all users who
       |     |     |     |       |     |      |   read this group.
       |     |     |     |       |     |      |       +-- Share: % newsreaders
       |     |     |     |       |     |      |       |   who read this group.
       V     V     V     V       V     V      V       V
  1  1700   418  478 1021.2    281   2.30    0.9%    3.8%  net.philosophy
  2  5300  1293  985 1665.1    185   1.20    2.6%   11.8%  net.singles
  3   880   213  160  407.4    181   1.70    0.4%    1.9%  net.politics.theory
  4  2200   533  378  969.5    172   1.70    1.1%    4.9%  net.politics
  5  3200   786  541  970.6    169   1.10    1.6%    7.2%  net.sf-lovers
  6  3700   905  578  980.3    156   1.00    1.8%    8.3%  net.music
  7  1800   438  280  572.6    155   1.20    0.9%    4.0%  net.comics
  8  1300   318  201  375.7    154   1.10    0.6%    2.9%  net.nlang.india
  9  1400   346  211  412.4    151   1.10    0.7%    3.2%  net.tv.drwho
 10  1300   312  177  753.3    136   2.20    0.6%    2.9%  net.religion.christ
 11  3400   817  451  882.3    132   0.98    1.7%    7.5%  net.micro.amiga
 12  3600   868  420  739.6    116   0.77    1.8%    7.9%  net.auto
 13  3600   863  397  925.8    110   0.97    1.8%    7.9%  net.women
 14  2000   475  215 1068.8    107   2.00    1.0%    4.3%  net.micro.atari16
 15   510   124   52   75.9    103   0.56    0.3%    1.1%  net.music.makers
 16  3900   947  391  762.9    100   0.74    1.9%    8.7%  net.micro.mac
 17  2000   481  197  331.4     98   0.62    1.0%    4.4%  net.pets
 18  4100  1001  394  670.8     96   0.62    2.0%    9.2%  net.movies
 19  2500   594  238  308.5     95   0.46    1.2%    5.4%  net.games.hack
 20   640   155   61  591.8     95   3.50    0.3%    1.4%  mod.comp-soc
 21  2300   569  214  404.8     93   0.66    1.2%    5.2%  net.video
 22  1400   331  130  293.5     92   0.79    0.7%    3.0%  net.sport.hoops
 23  1400   344  127  199.6     90   0.54    0.7%    3.1%  net.sport.baseball
 24  1600   386  140  465.2     87   1.10    0.8%    3.5%  net.religion
 25  1800   439  154  359.8     85   0.75    0.9%    4.0%  net.games.frp
 26  2500   603  205  295.6     82   0.44    1.2%    5.5%  net.startrek
 27  4300  1050  350  594.9     81   0.52    2.1%    9.6%  net.lang.c
 28  4400  1073  350  767.1     79   0.66    2.2%    9.8%  net.micro.pc
 29  1700   416  130  313.8     76   0.69    0.8%    3.8%  net.ham-radio
 30  4200  1016  305  719.1     72   0.64    2.1%    9.3%  net.arch
 31  1800   437  127  177.1     70   0.37    0.9%    4.0%  net.consumers.house
 32  2700   648  188  280.9     69   0.39    1.3%    5.9%  mod.computers.vax
 33  5300  1288  358  603.4     67   0.43    2.6%   11.8%  net.unix
 34  2200   522  148  212.1     67   0.36    1.1%    4.8%  net.aviation
 35  1400   341   92  283.1     66   0.76    0.7%    3.1%  net.origins
 36  3400   820  214  470.8     63   0.52    1.7%    7.5%  net.followup
 37  1100   268   68  106.3     62   0.36    0.5%    2.5%  net.test
 38  2500   594  152  235.5     61   0.35    1.2%    5.4%  net.bicycle
 39  1700   413  104  323.3     61   0.72    0.8%    3.8%  net.abortion
 40  1000   252   60  100.9     60   0.38    0.5%    2.3%  net.tv.soaps

BOTTOM 10 NEWSGROUPS IN ORDER BY POPULARITY
       +-- Estimated total number of people who read the group, worldwide.
       |     +-- Actual number of readers in sampled population
       |     |     +-- Recent traffic, in messages per month. 
       |     |     |     +-- Recent traffic, in kilobytes per month.
       |     |     |     |       +-- Participation ratio: msgs/month/Krdrs
       |     |     |     |       |     +-- Cost ratio: $US/month/reader
       |     |     |     |       |     |      +-- Rating: % of all users who
       |     |     |     |       |     |      |   read this group.
       |     |     |     |       |     |      |       +-- Share: % newsreaders
       |     |     |     |       |     |      |       |   who read this group.
       V     V     V     V       V     V      V       V
205   940   228   55   81.1     59   0.32    0.5%    2.1%  net.micro.atari8
206   930   226   18   42.0     19   0.17    0.5%    2.1%  net.sport.hockey
207   890   215   24   32.5     27   0.14    0.4%    2.0%  net.rec.drugs
208   880   213  160  407.4    181   1.70    0.4%    1.9%  net.politics.theory
209   840   204    4    3.8      5   0.02    0.4%    1.9%  net.micro.ti
210   740   180   21   46.8     28   0.24    0.4%    1.6%  mod.computers.massc
211   640   155   61  591.8     95   3.50    0.3%    1.4%  mod.comp-soc
212   560   135    1    1.5      2   0.01    0.3%    1.2%  mod.announce
213   510   124   52   75.9    103   0.56    0.3%    1.1%  net.music.makers
214   480   117    7   33.8     14   0.26    0.2%    1.1%  mod.conferences

Valid data received from these sites:

3comvax 3d.dec.com 8702.dec.com aaec able.dec.com acetes adelie adobe
aero aero2 akgua akgub akguc akgud akov68.dec.com alberta alv
amber.dec.com amdahl amdcad amdimage anasaz ant.dec.com aragorn
arran.tcom.stc.co.uk arthur ascvax astrovax atari athena aurora
avanti.dec.com axis bach.dec.com bagels.dec.com bartok.dec.com basser
bdmrrr bek-mc bene beowulf birtch bnl boehm.dec.com boves.dec.com brand
btnix bute.tcom.stc.co.uk cad.dec.com cadomin cae780 caip.rutgers.edu
carmel cascade casto.dec.com cavell cbosgd ccvaxa celica.dec.com
chalmers cheviot chronon circe cit-vax closet.dec.com clt.dec.com cod
cogito.dec.com cogsci.berkeley.edu columbia comet.dec.com
comet2.dec.com cooper cp1 cuae2 curium.dec.com cuuxb cvl cxsea cybvax0
dalcs darth davinci dec-marlboro.arpa decuac decwrl delni.dec.com
desint diablo dicome dione donner.dec.com down dregs.dec.com drexel
dssdev.dec.com edison elsie elwood.dec.com enmasse eros euclid.dec.com
eureka.dec.com exodus.dec.com fai felix felix.dec.com fgvaxu.dec.com
foxvax5 fritz frog frog.nosc.mil gallo.dec.com ganash
garfield.columbia.edu garfield.mun gatech gemvax.dec.com genrad gitpyr
glacier glimmer gold.dec.com gould9 gramps.dec.com greg gsc gt-stratus
gvadg1.dec.com hammer handel harvard hercules ho95e hocad hydra.dec.com
ia-sun2 iapetus icom ihu1n im4u imagen imt3b2 imt3b2 infinet infopro
ink.dec.com iosg.dec.com ipso iscuva ishtar jasper jaws.dec.com jimi
jon.dec.com jplgodo kepler killer kirk.dec.com kodak kosman kpe labrea
lando.dec.com latour.dec.com ll-vlsi lmi-ang lmi-angel logic.dec.com
louie.dec.com lsmvax.dec.com luke lymph.dec.com macbeth masscomp mcc-pp
mcgill- mck-csc meccts medea mentor.dec.com metoo.dec.com micomvax
midacs miles.dec.com mirror mit-eddie mit-trillian mnetor mntgfx
mordred msudoc mtblue.dec.com mtgzy mtgzz mulga munnari myrias navajo
nbires ncoast ncr-sd ncrcae nimbus.dec.com njitcccc noao nonode.dec.com
novavax nttlab nymgr.dec.com oberon oblio.dec.com ocean oddjob ohgua
ohgub ohguc onecom opus orstcs osiris otto panda par5.dec.com parcvax
parrot.dec.com pbsvax.dec.com pegasus percival philabs phoenix phri
phuxa phuxc pitt pldvax.dec.com plooba plus5 pneuma.dec.com pogo popeye
poseidon potomac princeton prism psivax pucc-h pucc-i pucc-j pucc-k
pyramid quad1 quark.dec.com ra rainbo.dec.com raja.dec.com
rangly.dec.com raster raynal.dec.com rayssd reed renko.dec.com ritcv
rivest.dec.com rochester roxie.dec.com rti-sel saber sandia
sanfan.dec.com saturn sauron scicom scribe.dec.com sdcc12 sdcc13 sdcc3
sdcc6 sdcc7 sdcsvax se-sd seismo sems shasta shogun.dec.com sicsten
sigma sjuvax sneaky sneezy spastic spock star.dec.com stat-l stride
stsci styx su-isl suadb sw.dec.com talcott tallis.dec.com teddy tekig5
teklds tesla tflop tilt titan titn tkov58.dec.com tonto.dec.com
topaz.rutgers.edu trco01.dec.com trillian troll.dec.com tucos tulane
turtlevax tut twitch tymix ucsfcgl ugdist uiucuxa uiucuxc uiucuxe
uiucuxf ukma ulowell ultra.dec.com umd-cs umd-ua uncle.dec.com unmvax
usc-obe usc-oberon usrcv1.dec.com ut-sally utah-gr utcs vaxine.dec.com
vaxuum.dec.com vianet viking.dec.com vino.dec.com vlnvax.dec.com voder
vu-vlsi vulcan walldata wang7 wanginst warlok.dec.com watarts watcal
watcgl watdaisy watdcsu watdragon wateng water watlion watmath watmum
watnot watopt watpix watrose watvlsi weitek well wisdom yale yetti
yogi.dec.com zeus

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
		EXPLANATION OF THE MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICS

Survey data is taken by having one person at each site run a program called
"arbitron", which looks at the news or notes files and determines the
newsgroups that the user has read within a recent interval. To "read" a
newsgroup means to have been presented with the opportunity to look at at
least one message in it. Going through a newsgroup with the "n" key counts
as reading it. For a news site, "user X reads group Y" means that user X's
.newsrc file has marked at least one unexpired message in Y. If there is no
traffic in a newsgroup for the measurement period, then the survey will show
that nobody reads the group. For a notes site, "user X reads group Y" means
that user X has been in the notesfile with the sequencer in the last 14 days.
The "14 days" interval for notesfiles corresponds to "unexpired" for news.

The "arbitron" program is periodically posted to net.sources, or is available
from me (decwrl!reid). The notesfiles version of the program should be
available through standard notesfiles software distribution channels as well.

SITES SURVEYED IN THIS SAMPLE

"This Sample" means the set of sites that have sent in an arbitron report
within the past "Readership measurement interval" days. In every case the
most recent report from each site is used. At the moment, some of the
readership reports are several months old. In future postings those reports
will have expired and will not be included.

One might argue that the sample is self-selected, like the famous Literary
Digest Dewey-Truman election poll sample. It does in fact have a certain
self-selection factor in it, because we only get data from sites at which
someone participates in the survey. However, we do not require the
participation of every user at a site, only one user. The survey program
returns data for every user on the system on which it was run. Since there
are an average of 40 people per site reading news, there is a certain amount
of randomness introduced that way. Of course, the sample is biased in favor
of large sites (they are more likely to have a user willing to run the survey
program) and software-development-oriented sites (more likely to have a user
*able* to run the survey program). I intend to post, reasonably soon, some
breakdowns of statistics about the sites that have responded.

NETWORK SIZE

I determine the network size by looking at the set of sites that are
mentioned in the Path lines of news articles arriving at decwrl. This number
is consistently higher than the number of sites that posted a message (as
measured and posted from Seismo) because it includes passive sites that are
on the paths between posting sites and decwrl. 

There are 1724 different sites in the Path lines of articles that
arrived at decwrl in the last month. There are 5548 different sites in
the mod.map data, but mod.map includes every site that participates in uucp;
there is a considerable number of machines that exchange uucp mail but do not
get USENET. Of those 1724 sites, 90 (5%) are DEC E-net hosts not part of
uucp. The DEC E-net participation in USENET complicates the statistics,
because we have 100% data for readership of USENET inside the DEC-Enet,
which makes extrapolating less accurate. 

Despite these various difficulties, I believe that 1724 is the best
estimate for the size of USENET. Because it is actually a measurement of the
number of sites that have posted a message or that are on the path to a site
that has posted a message, it will be slightly smaller than the number of
sites that actually read netnews. Any site that believes it is not being
counted can just ensure that it posts at least one message a month, so that
it will be counted.


NUMBER OF USERS

The number of users at each site is determined in a site-specific fashion.
Sometimes it is done by counting the number of user accounts that have
shells and login directories. Sometimes it is done by counting the number of
people who have logged in to the machine in some interval. Sometimes other
techniques are used. This number is probably not very accurate--certainly
not more accurate than to within a factor of two.

ESTIMATED TOTAL NUMBER OF PEOPLE WHO READ THIS GROUP, WORLDWIDE

There are two sources of error in this number. The number is computed by
multiplying the number of people in the sample who actually read the group by
the ratio of estimated network size to sample size. The estimated total can
therefore be biased by errors in the network size estimate (see above) and
also by errors in the determination of whether or not someone reads a group.
Assuming that "reading a group" is roughly the same as "thumbing through a
magazine", in that you don't necessarily have to read anything, but you have
to browse through it and see what is there, then the measurement error will
come primarily from inability to locate .newsrc files, which can either be
protected or moved out of root directories. I sampled 13 machines recently
and found only 2 users out of 715 who were actually news readers but whose
.newsrc file was not in their root directory. From this I have concluded that
the problem is not worth worrying about, since the error in network size
estimation will totally dominate it.

MESSAGES PER MONTH AND KILOBYTES PER MONTH

Traffic is measured at decwrl. Any message that has arrived at decwrl within
the last "Traffic measurement interval" days is counted, regardless of when
it was posted. Monthly rates are computed by taking the total traffic,
dividing by the number of days in the traffic measurement interval, and
multiplying by 30. Decwrl runs 2.10.3 news, which does not store the
"Date-Received", "Relay-version" or "Posting-version" header lines; the
amount of space occupied at your site might be higher, and the number of
bytes transmitted between machines is probably higher. By definition this
number is correct, because it is an exact measurement, but it may differ from
the traffic at your site by as much as 15% due to timing differences and news
version differences. Timing differences will be random, but will average out
in the long run. News version differences will cause a systematic error that
is uniform across all newsgroups, and which therefore does not affect ratios.

If a message is crossposted to several groups simultaneously, it is charged
only to the first-named group in the list.


PARTICIPATION RATIO: MESSAGES per MONTH per 1000 READERS

This number is exactly what it says: the number of messages per month in
that newsgroup, divided by the number of 1000 readers. It is an indication
of how involved the readers of the group are in the traffic, of whether they
are mostly listeners or mostly talkers. Its accuracy is limited by the
accuracy of its two components. The messages per month  figure is exact; the
reader count is only as accurate as the network size estimate, which is in
worst case accurate to 40%. Therefore you should treat this number as having
an error margin of plus or minus 40%. However, ratios between participation
ratios for different newsgroups are quite accurate, since the network-size
component divides out.

COST RATIO: DOLLARS PER MONTH PER READER

The most controversial field in the survey report is the "$US per month per
reader". It is the estimated number of dollars that are being spent on
behalf of each reader, worldwide, on telephone costs to transmit this
newsgroup. The cost ratio does not include the cost of disk storage to store
the news or of computer time to process it; both of those are assumed to be
free.

The cost ratio is computed as follows:

$US/month/reader = ($USPerMonthPerSite * numberOfSites) / numberOfReaders
$USPerMonthPersite = KBytesTrafficPerMonth * $USPerKByte
$USPerKByte = ($USperMinute / KBytesPerMinute) * (1 - CompressionFactor)
$USperMinute = 0.10	[ten cents per minute avg phone cost]
KBytesPerMinute = 60 * BytesPerSecond / 1000
BytesPerSecond = 100	[average transfer rate over 1200-baud line]
CompressionFactor = 0.4 [40% compression is typical for netnews]

Combining all these gives

$USPerMonthPersite =
    KBytesTrafficPerMonth * (0.10 / 6) * (1 - 0.4)
  = KBytesTrafficPerMonth / 100

Therefore:

$US/month/reader =
    (KBytesTrafficPerMonth * numberOfSites) / (100 * numberOfReaders)

The accuracy of this number is in fact better than the accuracy of the
participation ratio, because the source of error--the network size
estimate--is present both in the numerator and the denominator, and therefore
cancels out. The primary source of bias in this number comes from the bias in
the "estimated number of readers, worldwide", which is described above. Treat
this value as being accurate to within about 25%.

SITE PARTICIPATION

I would like to receive data from every site on USENET. The arbitron program
works on news 2.9, and 2.10.[1-3]; Rich Salz has a version that works on
some versions of notesfiles. 


Brian Reid
DEC Western Research Laboratory, Palo Alto CA
reid@decwrl.DEC.COM
{ihnp4,allegra,decvax,ucbvax,sun,glacier}!decwrl!reid