[net.misc] astrology, earth center, science

kurt@fluke.UUCP (Kurt Guntheroth) (07/20/83)

It is important to remember why a theory is accepted by scientists.  A
particular theory is accepted over other theories on several grounds.

1.  The theory fits known facts as well as or better than competing
theories.

2.  The theory provides an explanation of known facts or observations that
is simpler or more consistent than the explanation provided by other
theories.

3.  The theory accurately predicts as-yet unobserved facts or behavior which
are subsequently observed.

One reason the idea of an earth-centered universe is not generally accepted by
scientists is because there are simpler theories that fit the facts.  It may
be possible to construct physical laws which allow an earth centered
universe (I don't know enough about physics or astronomy to argue on this
point) there are simpler explanations which fit the existing fabric of
physics.  If some additional fact came up that invalidated the current set
of laws that govern physics and astronomy, or if some additional useful
prediction could be made on the basis of an earth centered universe, you can
bet that the idea would receive more than casual scrutiny from scientists.

Astrology is not well accepted as a science because it fails in all
respects.  Astrology does not, on average do a better job of predicting the
future than you could do by guessing based on what you know about the world.
Astrology does not provide an explanation of its own workings at any more
detailed level than "the influence of the planets."  Why planets should have
particular influences is not even addressed, yet the influences are
postulated.  Since astrology does not attempt to explain anything, it is
also freed from the requirement of being consistent with any facts.

Remember, scientists are curious people.  They will look at theories with
which they disagree, if only to reassure themselves that they are right.
Any theory which is simple, consistent, explains known facts well, and has a
record of predicting hitherto unknown phenomena will gain a following of
scientists.