[net.misc] ESP & phones about to ring - NATURAL explanations

avi@pegasus.UUCP (Avi E. Gross) (02/24/84)

CONTEXT:  We are discussing whether a particular individual had ESP because
	  they could occasionally tell when the phone was about to ring.

I want some clarification. I assume that a typical telephone call is
completed within under 5 seconds from the end of dialing and the first ring.
(At least this should be true for a call made though At&T :-) Therefore, if
the guy knows the phone will ring 30 seconds before, then I can not believe
that they can detect an ultrasonic buzz which does not exist. If they can
also identify who is calling - even for random calls - then ... My bias
still leads me to question the existence of ESP, although I have had my
share of times when I know who will be on the phone.

I used to sometimes guess who was on the phone -- just for the fun of it.
One saturday, my friend Al called to finalize arrangements for a party. I
promptly answered with "Hi Al" and completely floored him. It took fifteen
minutes for me to explain how I "knew" that it must be him. I gave him
reasons like: "none of my orthodox friends and relatives would call on the
sabbath", "everyone else who I usually hear from has already called today",
"I was expecting to hear from you before you went to the library at five". I
pointed out that if it was a wrong number, then I was not really taking much
of a risk of embarrassing questions. He was still puzzled by the way I could
make up my mind so suddenly -- because I picked up the phone during the
first ring and immediately greeted him.

The point is, that if you do think rapidly, and take some risks, you can be
right 90% of the times that you choose to hazard a guess (I kept track).
Nobody will remember all the times that you just answered "Hello, who is
this". There was nothing magical about it, although I could easily have
convinced him that I was clairvoyant (It would have explained so MANY other
things that I did which made him wonder).

I have known people with paranormal sensory abilities. In my Quantitative
Analysis chemistry course, we had one guy who was able to get perfect
results on his titrations. The rest of us mortals had to overtitrate just a
bit, so we could see when the solution changed from colorless to light pink.
He would always stop while the solution was still clear, but adding even an
eight of a drop resulted in the color change. Interestingly enough, he did
not claim ESP. He was color blind, and everything looked grey to him. When
the solution looked perfectly transparent to us, it already looked hazy to
him. He had the ability to sense in a way we didn't, but it was all
explainable on a BIOLOGICAL level. I assume other people have similar
abilities with being able to hear buzzes and squeaks at frequencies that I
can't detect -- similar to the way dogs can hear ultrasonic whistles.
-- 
-=> Avi E. Gross @ AT&T Information Systems Laboratories (201) 576-6241
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