[net.legal] what happens if Reagan dies?

emh@bonnie.UUCP (Edward M. Hummel) (11/28/84)

<>
	Here's a Constitution question that I have sometimes wondered
about:

	Ronald Reagan has won the election.  What happens if he
dies before being sworn in (Jan 85)?
	If he dies before the electoral college votes, what would
they do?


						Ed Hummel
	{ihnp4,cmcl2,burl,allegra,...}!clyde!bonnie!emh

ndiamond@watdaisy.UUCP (Norman Diamond) (11/29/84)

Technically, the electors can vote for anyone they wish.  There was even a
recent occasion (1968 I think) when an elector voted differently from the
way he had pledged, and his actual vote counted (but didn't affect the
results).

Electors are supposed to vote the way the voters did in their states, and
sometimes a state has two sets of potential electors so that they can choose
the appropriate set after seeing how their voters have chosen.  And you
though software was kludgy.

And how many states are prepared with four (or whatever) sets of electors?
If software engineers designed programs with as little preparation for unusual
cases as governments do in their laws, the first typo by a data entry clerk
would crash usenet.

hosking@convexs.UUCP (12/01/84)

They would most likely bury him.  <:-{)

geb@cadre.UUCP (12/01/84)

The electors are not bound to vote for any specific candidate,
despite the fact that they ran  as "Reagan" electors.  Indeed,
mavericks in the past have voted for someone else.  In 1972
Roger MacBride, a Nixon elector from Virginia, cast his vote
for John Hospers for President, and Toni Nathan for Vice President,
making Nathan the first woman ever to receive an electoral vote.
(Hospers and Nathan were Libertarian Party nominees.)  Since
Mondale has only a tiny minority of electors, it would well be
possible for the Reagan electors to caucus and decide to elect
someone other than Bush (and well they might, since Bush is
"too liberal" for a lot of them).  If they could be sure of
a majority, it would be possible for them to elect anyone
they wished, but if they deadlocked, the Democratic House
of Representatives would elect the president.  They would
probably play it safe and elect Bush, otherwise, there would
probably be an amendment to the constitution to get rid of
the electoral college before the next election.

gino@voder.UUCP (Gino Bloch) (12/05/84)

[since I don't believe in the bug, I didn't provide this line]

> They would most likely bury him.  <:-{)
They might cremate him, so send all replies to net.flame :-) (-:
-- 
Gene E. Bloch (...!nsc!voder!gino)
Mr Humility

ajaym@ihu1h.UUCP (Jay Mitchell) (12/05/84)

Actually, the time is actually divided up into even further increments
as follows:

1) If the president-elect dies between now and the mid-December Electoral
   College convention, national party rules would still hold. In effect, the
   College members would be able to vote for who their party wants them to
   vote for. Actually of course, they could potentially meet and vote for
   whomever they wanted.

2) If the president-elect dies between the College meeting and the time
   Congress counts the votes, Congress would still be forced to count the
   votes and declsre the dead man the winner (No Joke). At that time, the
   following case would hold.

3) If the president-elect dies between the counting of the votes and
   Inauguration Day, the vice-president-elect would become president-elect
   and would have the opportunity to nominate hice vice-president-elect.
   This nomination would have to be approved for Congress.

4) AND FINALLY, if both president- and vice-president-elect are dead by
   Inauguration Day, the order of succession (Secy. of State, etc.)
   hold temporarily until Congress chooses a president.
-- 
				    -------------------------
					Jay Mitchell
					ihnp4!ihu1h!ajaym
				    -------------------------

notes@isucs1.UUCP (12/12/84)

There was an article concerning this very issue in the December 9
Des Moines Register by John Hyde.  I'll quote parts of it here.

           WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Suppose Ronald Reagan were
        to  die  today,  Dec.  9, 1984.  Who would become
        president on Jan. 20, 1985?

           The answer is: Nobody knows for sure.

           Suppose Reagan were to die a month  from  now,
        on  Jan.  8, 1985.  Who would become president on
        Jan. 20?

           The answer is: George Bush.

           But  suppose  Reagan  were  to  die   sometime
        between  Dec.  17,  1984,  and Jan. 7, 1985.  Who
        would become president on Jan. 20?

           The answer is: Walter Mondale.

         ...

           The actual election  of  the  president  takes
        place  on  the  first  Monday  after  the  second
        Wednesday of December (Dec. 17, this  year)  when
        the  538 electors meet in their various states to
        cast their ballots.

           During the period between Nov. 6 and Dec.  17,
        there  is  no  president-elect since the election
        hasn't taken place.  Therefore,  if  a  candidate
        died  or withdrew, it would be up to the national
        committees of the political parties to name a new
        candidate.

           If Reagan were to die, the Republican National
        Committee  probably  would  name  Vice  President
        George Bush as its  presidential  candidate,  but
        the  committee would be under no legal or consti-
        tutional obligation to do so, nor would the elec-
        tors  be  under  any  obligation  to  follow  the
        party's advice.

         ...

           Between Dec. 17 and Jan 7, however, the  elec-
        toral  ballots remain sealed and uncounted and no
        "president-elect" exists.  If Reagan were to  die
        or  withdraw  during  that  period,  the election
        would be thrown into  the  House  of  Representa-
        tives.

           The election in the House would be governed by
        the  12th  Amendment,  which  requires  that  the
        president be picked "from the persons having  the
        highest  numbers  not exceeding three on the list
        of those voted for  as  president..."  Since  the
        1984  election  was  a two-man race in which only
        Reagan and Mondale won any electoral  votes,  the
        House's  only  constitutional  option would be to
        elect Mondale.

         ...

           If the House refused to settle  the  election,
        Speaker  of  the House Thomas "Tip" O'Neill would
        become acting president on Jan. 20.  But  O'Neill
        would  have  to resign from the House in order to
        accept the position.  If O'Neill refused  to  be-
        come acting president, the job would fall to Sen-
        ate President Pro Tem Strom Thurmond.   If  Thur-
        mond  declined, Secretary of State George Schultz
        would become acting president.

         ...


So that seems to be the story.  I guess we still  have  a  chance
before January 7. :-)

					Roy Rubinstein

					csnet:   roy@iowa-state
					usenet:  ...umn-cs!isucs1!roy

"Anything before Wednesday noon is still Monday morning." - RSR

ran@ho95b.UUCP (RANeinast) (12/17/84)

>There was an article concerning this very issue in the December 9
>Des Moines Register by John Hyde.  I'll quote parts of it here.
>
>           WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Suppose Ronald Reagan were
>        to  die  today,  Dec.  9, 1984.  Who would become
>        president on Jan. 20, 1985?
>
>           The answer is: Nobody knows for sure.
>
>           Suppose Reagan were to die a month  from  now,
>        on  Jan.  8, 1985.  Who would become president on
>        Jan. 20?
>
>           The answer is: George Bush.
>
>           But  suppose  Reagan  were  to  die   sometime
>        between  Dec.  17,  1984,  and Jan. 7, 1985.  Who
>        would become president on Jan. 20?
>
>           The answer is: Walter Mondale.

>          . . .

>           Between Dec. 17 and Jan 7, however, the  elec-
>        toral  ballots remain sealed and uncounted and no
>        "president-elect" exists.  If Reagan were to  die
>        or  withdraw  during  that  period,  the election
>        would be thrown into  the  House  of  Representa-
>        tives.

>           The election in the House would be governed by
>        the  12th  Amendment,  which  requires  that  the
>        president be picked "from the persons having  the
>        highest  numbers  not exceeding three on the list
>        of those voted for  as  president..."  Since  the
>        1984  election  was  a two-man race in which only
>        Reagan and Mondale won any electoral  votes,  the
>        House's  only  constitutional  option would be to
>        elect Mondale.

>So that seems to be the story.  I guess we still  have  a  chance
>before January 7. :-)

>       				Roy Rubinstein

>       				csnet:   roy@iowa-state
>       				usenet:  ...umn-cs!isucs1!roy


Who the hell is this bozo (John Hyde)?  Does he know how to read?
Did he try doing some research, like looking at the Constitution?
Are all reporters this incompetent (from other observations, yes!)?

AMENDMENT XII.  "The electors shall meet in their respective states
and vote by ballot for President and Vice President, one of whom,
at least, shall not be an inhabitant of the same state as themselves;
they shall name in their ballots the person voted for as President,
and in distinct ballots the person voted for as Vice-President,
and they shall make distinct lists of all persons voted for as President,
and all persons voted for as Vice-President, and the number of votes
for each, which lists they shall sign and certify, and transmit sealed
to the seat of the government of the United States, directed to the
President of the Senate;--The President of the Senate shall, in the
presence of the Senate and House of Representatives, open all the
certificates and the votes shall then be counted;--The person having the
greatest number of votes for President, shall be the President, if
such number be a majority of the whole number of Electors appointed;
and if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the
highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for
as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately,
by ballot, the President." [It then goes on to discuss the VP, etc.]

Therefore, between Dec. 17 and Jan. 7, the ballots just sit there
uncounted.  So what?  When they are counted, they declare Reagan
the President-elect.  The House only gets into the act when the
Electors don't get a *majority*, definitely not the case here.

If Reagan were dead, then the 20th amendment would come into play.

"If, at the time fixed for the beginning of the term of the President,
the President elect shall have died, the Vice President elect shall become
President." [AMENDMENT XX, Section 3]

That is, Bush.


-- 

". . . and shun the frumious Bandersnatch."
       Robert Neinast (ihnp4!ho95b!ran)
       AT&T-Bell Labs

pmd@cbscc.UUCP (Paul Dubuc) (12/20/84)

I'm glad Mr. Neinast cleared that one up.  For a while there
it looked like there was a possibility of having Mondale for
President and Bush for Vise President.  Wouldn't that be fun?

Answer: No.

-- 

Paul Dubuc	cbscc!pmd

87064023@sdcc3.UUCP ({|lit) (12/21/84)

> 
> 4) AND FINALLY, if both president- and vice-president-elect are dead by
>    Inauguration Day, the order of succession (Secy. of State, etc.)
>    hold temporarily until Congress chooses a president.
> -- 

The secretary of state is not in the order of succession for
president (nor is he mentioned in the constitution at all).  The
individual in line for the presidency after the vice president is
the Speaker of the House.

geb@cadre.UUCP (12/23/84)

I read another good argument for the electoral college:

It limits the scope of the damage from hanky-panky.  Sometimes
even this mechanism fails.  In 1960, Mayor Daley's vote
totals from Chicago gave Kennedy the Election.  Nixon didn't
challenge but it was almost certain that in an honest election
he would have won Illinois.  If there was no electoral college,
cheating would be more likely to swing the entire election
rather than just one state's votes.