[net.crypt] Beale Cypher rebuttal

ed@oakhill.UUCP (Ed Rupp) (07/13/84)

For those of you who didn't see it, my second posting contained the
cyphers, the DOI, my notes and the pamphlet. <149@oakhill>.  For the
record, I don't know if the cyphers are real or not, and haven't been
convinced one way or the other.  I do know that I'm hooked on the subject
as a puzzle and take the stance that there is a solution.  Here are my
comments on the subjects raised by Marc Kenig and Jim Gillogly:

Legalities.
	I'll worry about legalities when I crack the cyphers.   :-)

Why is B2 the easiest to crack?
	Because it doesn't contain information that is sensitive.

Why is B2 so verbose?
        As mentioned by another author, "Telegraphese wasn't invented until
        the telegraph!" Besides this, the time involved gave Beale plenty
	of opportunity to encode the messages.  He had (at least)
	from January 1822 to the spring (March?) to work on the cyphers
	while staying at Morriss' inn.

Transporting gold/silver from Santa Fe.
	What about river boats?  Once you get to the Mississippi it
	should have been easy to get to Virginia.
	Also note what B2 says about exchanging some of the cargo for
	jewels "to save transportation".  Might this imply that they were
	paying someone to move it for them?

Why use DOI for B2, then less obvious keys for B1/3?
	See my notes about possibly using the DOI for generating a one-time
	pad.  It's clear to me that B1 is related to the DOI because of
	the strings.  Even if it's a hoax, the Gillogly strings imply
	the originator used the DOI somehow.

No Spanish records of the expedition?
	Why would there be records?  While you're at it why not wish
	for articles in the Virginia newspapers like:  "Beale expedition
	finds gold/silver, buries it in local cemetery".

The Gillogly strings.
	(1) If B1 and B3 were just part of a hoax, why put the strings in
	    at all?  Wouldn't it be better to make them really
	    random to keep people searching for the right key document?
	(2) The only reasonable conclusion I can draw is that the key to
	    B1 is related to the DOI also.  This does not rule out
	    that another document might also be used, but I think
	    I can count on the DOI as being part of the key.
	(3) I concur that Hammer's "pun" suggestion is not the solution  for
	    the reasons you mentioned.  What about my suggestion
	    of a table with the alphabet along the axes and filled
	    with numbers from the DOI?
	(4) The strings as a "signal" to the decoder:  Probably not a
	    signal from Beale to Morriss because Morriss was supposed
	    to have the key anyway.  The strings are definitely a signal to
	    the codebreaker.
	(5) "doodle" hypothesis:  Why repeat the same letter?
	    Or why not put perfect strings in more places?

Why does B2 reference B1 & B3?
        This is the best argument I've heard from the hoax side of the
	fence.  I can't think of anything plausible but note that the
	numbering of the cyphers is in question.  The BCA literature
	contains speculation that the ciphers were on 8 sheets of
	paper, but I think this related to Clayton Hart.

Errors in B2.
        Mostly the result of misnumbering the DOI at a few line breaks.
        Correcting for this, there are only two or three places where the
        cyphers are in error.  In these cases the same number is used for
        different letters.  The originals were subject to copying errors
        when the pamphlet version was being written.  Also, errors do not
        imply pain.  Errors imply sloppy work.

B3 too short.
        The expedition was made up of close friends:  If only a few
        families were represented in the party then B3 could be much
	shorter than one would expect.

The Originals are missing.
        This is, to put it mildly, "unfortunate".  Extremely frustrating is
        more like it.  The Hart version of B2 has obviously been adjusted
        to match the DOI, creating decades of confusion until the pamphlet
        was found.  Ward's version of the DOI has corrections applied to it
        too, but not the same ones as I use.  I may be too close to my own
        work, but I think my explanation of how the errors in B2 came about
        are more plausible than the Ward pamphlet corrections.  If true,
        this leaves only Morriss or "Beale" as originators of the hoax.  Or
        maybe you believe that Hart created the cyphers, wrote the pamphlet
        and his booklet "The Beale Ciphers", with the pamphlet version
        having subtle errors and the alphabetical strings in B1, then
        grossly changed B2 in his document?

---------- end of comments, begin new questions ---------

What about all of the "fives" floating about in all 3 cyphers?
	(1) B2 prefers numbers divisible by 5 (and 10), B3 avoids them.
	    Each cipher prefers one remainder:  B1%5==1, B2%5==0, B3%5==1
	    and avoids another: B1%5==2, B2%5==4, B3%5==0.
	    See my notes for details.
	(2) An unexpected number of the elements beyond ~900 in B1 are
	    divisible by 5. (this is kinda weak)
	(3) 1005=X in B2 which is hard to explain since no word near
	    that in the DOI even contains an X.
	(4) A shift of 5 for elements above 600 in B1 extends the
	    longest string, and changes one string from AABAD to AABCD.

The author of "The Beale Papers"
	What progress has there been in identifying the author of
	the pamphlet?  In the June '82 BCA newsletter Aaron mentions that
	he has a small list of candidates and remarks that interest
	will either increase greatly or subside to a few diehards
	if he has correctly identified the author.

The hoax hypothesis.
        To my knowledge, there is no evidence one way or the other for the
        hoax theory.  So far, all details of the story that can be checked
        out (by somewhat fanatical researchers) have proven true:  Mrs.
        Morriss' obituary verifies that she died in Ward's house.  Ward's
        application to the Library of Congress for the copyright of The
        Beale Papers has been retrieved.  Is there any evidence that *any*
        statement in the Ward pamphlet is false?  I would really like to
        see some so I could put this damn thing down.  Finding a rough
        draft of "The Beale Papers" among Edgar Allen Poe's effects would
        qualify. :-)


Ed Rupp		{ihnp4,seismo,gatech,ctvax}!ut-sally!oakhill!ed

cbspt002@abnjh.UUCP (07/15/84)

<TJ Beale was as ficticious as this line>

Ed Rupp replies to some of the evidence against the Beale Ciphers being
legit in his article.  I reply to his rebuttal (for at least those points
which I am responsible).

>Legalities.
>	I'll worry about legalities when I crack the cyphers.   :-)

No problem, I just thought you'd like to know of some of the headache
of finding them.  It may not be worth all the fame!

>Why is B2 the easiest to crack?
>	Because it doesn't contain information that is sensitive.

No sensitive info? Well, I don't know why talking about a hoarde of gold
would be 'sensitive' (sarcasm).  If you found it, would you give a 'parts
list' of the hoarde to the NY Times? How about your local 'Holiday Inn'
manager?
Seriously, arent most treasure maps MAPS, with only tantalizing hints of the 
treasure? Of course, there's no reason to expect 'TJ' to follow any logical
course, since logical activity goes out the window when you're talking 
megabucks (or at least they were in those days...). 

>Why is B2 so verbose?
>        As mentioned by another author, "Telegraphese wasn't invented until
>        the telegraph!" Besides this, the time involved gave Beale plenty
>	of opportunity to encode the messages.  He had (at least)
>	from January 1822 to the spring (March?) to work on the cyphers
>	while staying at Morriss' inn.

'Verbose' is one thing, just-plain-odd use of language is another. His style
is not only verbose and repetitive, but also seems anachronistic.  You expect
to find a 'thee' or 'thou' in the text, it's so (for lack of a better word)
prosaic. By TJ's time, modern English had definitely taken hold. But, I have
no better rebuttal to this objection to my objection, so call it an even
match on this point.

>Transporting gold/silver from Santa Fe.
>	What about river boats?  Once you get to the Mississippi it
>	should have been easy to get to Virginia.
>	Also note what B2 says about exchanging some of the cargo for
>	jewels "to save transportation".  Might this imply that they were
>	paying someone to move it for them?

Security become a vast problem if we include 'movers' or any persons
not in the raiding party. You know, "loose-lips", greed and all that...

Granny: "Jethro, where'd you get that nugget 'o gold and that them there
         jewelery?"
Jethro: "Oh, just some guys with a bunch of big boxes and shit eating grins
         had me take 'em up the river a spell..."
Uncle Jed:  "Boy, get me my gun, we is going huntin for some Virginians!"
Jethro: "Why, yes sir uncle Jed, and I remember exactly where I left em off..."

>Why does B2 reference B1 & B3?
Maybe TJ just plain mis-numbered them or wrote and encoded them out of order.
It would be in character! Actually the ordering can be satisfactorally
explained.  To wit, I think that TJ would've written the text B1 immediately
after burying the treasure so not as to have to rely on a faulty memory, or
if he went and died suddenly, or something like that.  Then he would encode
it first since it was written first, and not change the wording in it for
reasons of accuracy.  Now sometime later he writes B2, referring to an
extant B1, and an as yet to be (or already) written B3. Then he numbers them
wrong or in chronological order. QED
But I'd still expect a READ ME FIRST message on top of B2.  It may have been
there, or maybe Ward just got lucky.  Can you imagine him deciphering number
3 first:  "Oh hell, just a bunch of names, & I was hoping for buried treasure
or something. Oh well guess it'll make good fire-lighters..."

-------end of rebuttals---------------------

I think it's a little futile employing arithmetical analysis to the search
for an answer.  Chances are you'd run into too damned many coincidences.
Besides, I seriously doubt that TJB would have used math at all to encode.
Perhaps the perponderance of mod 5 and mod 10 numbers is due to the fact
that 5 and ten are pretty popular numbers (what with money and all that).
(Don't get me wrong, real statistical analysis is another thing...)
More through historical and sociological study is needed, especially to
reveal a hoax in the case of the Beale ciphers.  Unfortunately, the more of
that what is applied to the Beale Ciphers, the MORE they seem like hoaxes!

Marc Kenig, "not that I wouldn't be the first one to man a shovel and help
...abnjh!cbspt002      you dig if you DO figure it out...."

smb@ulysses.UUCP (Steven Bellovin) (07/17/84)

	The Gillogly strings.
		(1) If B1 and B3 were just part of a hoax, why put the strings in
		    at all?  Wouldn't it be better to make them really
		    random to keep people searching for the right key document?

As Kahn points out in "The Codebreakers", most people regard cryptanalysis
as akin to magic -- black magic.  If you can't comprehend how someone
is going to crack your cipher, there would seem little point to using random
numbers instead.  Besides, most folks aren't particularly good generators or
recognizers of random strings (see Knuth Vol 2).