Cornish.PA@XEROX.ARPA (07/17/84)
Has anyone tried to build an Expert System to model a hypothetical
commodity trader's technical analysis based on "downside wedges", "trend
lines", "head and shoulders" and other "technical indicators"? Such a
system would identify "bear markets" and "bull markets" and would
believe things like "we remain bullish for the long term" and a
"precious metals shakeout is in progress".
Also, can someone provide a bibliography about "Interactive data
analysis" in the sense of "Interactive data analysis" given below:
Thursday, July 12: FEATURES OF EXPERIMENTAL PROGRAMMING ENVIRONMENTS
ABSTRACT: Interactive data analysis can be usefully thought
of as a particular kind of experimental programming. Our
work should build on the 10-15 years of research in
environments for experimental programming associated with
places like Xerox PARC and the MIT AI Lab. In this
session, we will discuss, in general terms, properties of
experimental programming environments that are relevant
to interactive data analysis. We will also describe and
compare the two basic alternatives in programming
environments that are open to us.
and this talk:
Data Analysis with Rule-based Languages and Expert Systems
by Steve Peters, MIT
(AIList Digest Friday, 13 Jul 1984 Volume 2 : Issue 89).
[There was an attempt to build a commodities expert (COMEX?) at MIT.
Its failure was apparently due to the complexity of the domain and
the difficulty of dealing with multiple knowledge sources that were
imprecise or even wrong. Can anyone supply more details?
Mike Walker's bibliography of expert statistical systems appeared in
AIList V2 #81, June 28. The May issue of Comm. of the ACM had an
article on the S system for interactive data analysis. Another term
for this is exploratory data analysis, as in John. W. Tukey's
"Exploratory Data Analysis", Addison-Wesley, 1977. Some of the recent
books on scientific problem solving with a pocket calculator also have
this flavor. Bill Gale at Bell Labs is building an S regression
package interface using an expert systems approach. -- KIL]