[can.general] Isn't a huge trade surplus good for something?

peterr (02/18/83)

One of the things that puzzles me is how the media blithely reports that Canada
has had record trade surplus figures during the last year and makes no comment
as to whether this is good or bad.  One would think it is good, and one would
expect the Opposition to scold the government for Canada's high relative
unemployment compared to countries with trade deficits.  Someone is missing
something somewhere, and the media certainly hasn't told me what it all means.
If someone knows what it does mean, I'd be grateful if they'd post a
discussion of it to this group.    p.rowley, UoT.

pfps (02/18/83)

Canada's recent huge trade surplus is good but not very good.

The reason for the surplus is that Canada's imports have
decreased dramatically (indicating a sick economy here)
while exports have decreased but not nearly as much
(in this case, not indicating that economies in other
countries are not as sick as here).  Another problem
with Canada's trade surplus is that our exports are
mostly raw materials (such as wheat, minerals, etc.).
I am willing to bet that Canada's exports of manufactured
goods are down just as much as our imports are.

To see why we can have high unemployment while keeping
up on our exports just look at Inco's case.  As you know
Inco has a lot of people laid off.  However, it is still
exporting (although not as much as before) because it has
a huge stockpile of exportable material available.