[net.sport.football] More NFL picks...laugh along with me

richl@daemon.UUCP (Rick Lindsley) (09/05/84)

I have written a program which uses a rather simple algorithm to assign
ratings to teams and then pick results of games. It can sometimes be
humorous to see people guffaw at the computer's picks and then end up
3-11 while the program is 8-6. The best it has done in a season is
about 68%.  The point spreads are really nothing more than an
indication of the program's certainty; one of last week's picks (which
I won't include since it's old news) was Oakland by 54 over Houston.
Probably its only real strong point is to adjust quickly to a rapidly
improving or failing team.

I offer its picks and Top 10 here without comments, simply for
comparison, and challenge all you hackers to come up with a better
program.

Rick Lindsley

Last week: 6-8

Top 10 (rating last week in parens)

 1. Raiders (2)
 2. Washington (1)
 3. San Francisco (3)
 4. Miami (5)
 5. Dallas (4)
 6. Seattle (6)
 7. New England (13)
 8. Chicago (12)
 9. St Louis (7)
10. Denver (15)

Picks

Jets by 3 over Pittsburgh
St Louis by 7 over Buffalo
Dallas by 21 over Giants
Chicago by 3 over Denver
Atlanta by 2 over Detroit
Cincinnati by 3 over Kansas City
Philadelphia by 2 over Minnesota
Miami by 5 over New England
New Orleans by 10 over Tampa Bay
Rams by 2 over Cleveland
Indianapolis by 1 over Houston
Raiders by 16 over Green Bay
Seattle by 7 over San Diego
San Francisco by 3 over Washington