[net.sport.football] pro football prediction method

dross@vlnvax.DEC (10/29/84)

	I have tried a very simple formula for predicting Pro football 
games and the results have ranged from good to fantastic... The formula is
based on points scored and allowed per hundred yards of total offense and
defense.  To figure the rating, divide total points by total yards divided
by 100 for offense and defense.  Subtract the defnsive value from the offense
value to find the overall rating.  Last season, the top 5 teams in this
category were the 5 playoff teams in each conference.  To figure winners,
give the home team 3 points and then add or subtract the difference between
the two teams rating values... If the result is greater than 0, the home
team is the favorite....  Last week, this system was 10/14 and correctly 
predicted St. Louis over Washington and the Colts over the Steelers.. Two
weeks ago it was 12/14 and predicted K.C. over San Diego and missed only
on Pittsburgh upset of San Francisco and Giants over Atlanta... 

jgw@alice.UUCP (Jay G. Wilpon) (10/31/84)

Your method may be as good as any other. BUT in picking games
the team that wins is irrelavent, its the POINTS given or taken
that make picking games harder.