[net.sport.football] Doctor Dart's Computer Picks - Week

ekblaw@uiucdcs.CS.UIUC.EDU (10/21/85)

I feel that poor Mr. Dart needs a new computer program, as he lost quite
a few games:

	Bengals		Cowboys 	Colts(I picked correctly here)
	Browns		Saints		Redskins (ditto!)
	49ers		Jets (I got this one, too!)
	most of the spreads.

Now I realize that there were two or three upsets yesterday, but I think
Dart is missing a major point in the NFL - players.  His computer picks
determines the game winners based on team performance, but there are other
factors at work in a football game.  Rivalries, home-field advantage (important
in places like Seattle and Pittsburgh, where the crowds are notoriously loud),
hyping up to face known tough opponents, and the drive to break a losing 
streak.  In fact, using Dart's method, it would be nearly impossible for
Atlanta, Buffalo, and Tampa Bay to win a game.  Atlanta and Buffalo proved
they could do it (and I never had any doubt about Buffalo), and Tampa Bay
will win one in a couple of weeks.  Tampa has a good offense, they just keep
getting outscored because of a sluggish defense.  Look for them to tighten the
defense and pull out three, maybe four or five, victories this year.

Robert A. Ekblaw