[net.politics] The Secret History of the Deficit

bdp (12/09/82)

This discussion of taxation reminds me of an article I posted in early
September, but which never got of our system (pyuxcc).  I present it
again for your amusement.  I apologize to those who may have seen
this before.

       From "The Nation," 21-28	August 1982, by	John McDermott

       Everybody in Washington deplores	deficits, but nobody can
       agree on	what causes them.  Some	blame the growing national
       debt on excessive spending for social programs.	Others
       pinpoint	Pentagon waste.	 Still others blame the	recession,
       with its	concomitant high interest rates	and rising
       unemployment.  Liberals and conservatives, hawks	and doves,
       Keynesians and supply-siders all	have different theories.

       But these explanations fail to consider an obvious cause:
       Federal tax policy.  A cursory look at the nation's tax
       history since World War II shows	that tax policy	has been
       consistent in one area.	The tax	burden on big business has
       been systematically eased by shifting it	-- or at least part
       of it-- to individual taxpayers.	 The resulting shortfall in
       revenues	has been made up by borrowing.

       Let me illustrate.  In 1946, individual taxpayers paid 50.1
       percent of all the taxes	Washington took	in; 45.9 percent of
       this amount was paid in income taxes and	4.2 percent in
       payroll assessments.  Corporate taxes made up 30.7 percent
       of the total, with virtually the	entire amount coming from
       taxes on	profits.  For every $5 in Federal revenues paid	by
       individuals, corporations paid $3.

       By 1976,	the picture had	altered	dramatically.  Personal
       income taxes made up 52.6 percent of Washington's take, and
       payroll taxes (which are	notoriously regressive)	had climbed
       to 24.5 percent.	 Big Business's	share of the tax load,
       meanwhile had fallen to 15.5 percent.  In other words, the
       Internal	Revenue	Service	was drawing 77 percent of its
       collections from	personal income	taxes.	For every $5 in
       Federal revenues	paid by	individuals, big business paid $1.
       By 1980,	the corporations' share	was 13.9 percent, an this
       should drop another percentage point or two once	all the	tax
       breaks written into the Reagan Administration's "economic
       recovery	program" have taken hold.

	 .....

       The best	way to alter the terms of the [budget] debate is to
       calculate the long-range	effect of tax policies on the
       national	debt.  In the 1970's, U.S. corporations	paid a
       total of	$470.2 billion in taxes, or 16 percent of Federal
       taxes collected.	 Had corporations paid the same	share of
       Federal receipts	in the 1970s as	they did in the	previous
       decade, the government would have collected an additional
       $171.3 billion and would	have saved an estimated	$64.9
       billion in interest payments on the money it borrowed to
       make up the difference.	Thus the effect	of tax changes
       during the 1970s	was to divert $171.3 billion from the
       Federal treasury	into the coffers of private corporations
       and to shift an additional $64.9	billion	to big banks.  And
       the national debt grew over $500	billion.

       Since the 1960s were prosperous years for big business, the
       22 percent burden was apparently	not harmful.  The 1950s
       were also banner	years for big business-- indeed, just about
       the best	ever.  During that decade business paid	about 28
       percent of all Federal taxes collected.	Had it continued to
       pay the same share throughout the 1960s and 1970s, the
       Federal treasury	would have gained $24.5	billion	more than
       it did and there	would have been	a further savings on
       interest	of an estimated	$215 billion.  Thus, changes in	the
       Federal tax policy from 1960 to 1980 deflected $639.5
       billion from the	U.S. Treasury.

       In 1980,	the total Federal debt stood at	$907.7 billion,
       having grown by $616.8 billion in the previous two decades.
       The significance	of that	shift of $639.5	billion	to big
       business	becomes	apparent.  We can account for the entire
       rise in the Federal debt	in terms of tax	reductions that
       benefited big business and big banks.

	 .....

       Orthodox	conservatives prefer to	blame the deficit on
       excessive spending on social programs.  But in recent years
       the United States has spent only	about 12 percent of its	GNP
       on social programs, compared with those paragons	of fiscal
       rectitude, Japan, which allocates 20 percent to such
       programs, and West Germany, which spends	30 percent.


Bruce Parker
BTL Pissthataway

renner@sri-unix (12/14/82)

#R:pyuxcc:-40700:uiucdcs:29200004:000:455
uiucdcs!renner    Dec 14 10:31:00 1982

     I still don't think that taxing corporations makes much sense.  The 
taxes just get passed on to the customers, who are eventually individuals.
Furthermore, dividends end up being taxed TWICE.  Taxes on corporations
should be designed to make their actual production costs reflect social/hidden
costs (economists have a special word for this); general income taxes are not
appropriate.

     Scott Renner
     University of Illinois (uiucdcs!renner)