[net.politics] BTL Takes the Lead

berman@ihuxm.UUCP (Andy Berman) (11/15/83)

There is a full page ad in the New York Times 11/13/83, calling for an immediate
nucluear freeze. The ad is signed by 1500
American physicists, including 22 Nobel Laureates.
In part the ad says:
WE CALL FOR AN AGREEMENT TO HALT THE TESTING PRODUCTION AND DEPLOYMENT OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS AND NUCLEAR WEAPONS DELIVERY SYSTEMS. MEANWHILE, NO FURTHER NUCLEAR WEAPONS OR DELIVERY SYSTEMS SHOULD BE DEPLOYED ANYWHERE.
...IF THE ADMINISTRATION IS NOT MOVED BY THESE MILLIONS (OF AMERICAN ANTI-
NUCLEAR PROTESTORS) PERHAPS  IT WILL PAY ATTENTION TO THE STAND TAKEN BY THESE PHYSICISTS..."
Among the signers there are no less than 15 Physicists from Bell Labs. Kind off makes for real Corporate Pride!
            Andy Berman

wetcw@pyuxa.UUCP (11/15/83)

I am at a loss to understand how anyone can advocate a one-sided
nuclear freeze given events over the past 50 odd years.  Soviet
leaders, from Stalin to Andropov, have been following the Marxist
line without deviation throughout this span of history.  From the
subjugation and massacure of the Ukrainian people to the supplying
of SAM missles to the Syrian military, they have not wavered from
Marx's dream of world domination.  Nothing has happened
within the last 20 years that seems to have changed this goal.

Have you forgotten the Korean airliner, Afganistan, new SAM missles
in Lebenon, Soviet arms caches in Grenada, poison rain in Cambodia,
the assasination attempt on the Pope, the assasination of four
Korean ministers, the jailing of dissidents, the sujegation of
soviet jews, the closing of all of their borders over the past
40 years, the stalling and disruption of every arms talk
conference, the stationing of soviet subs off the east and west
coasts, the use of Cuba as a surrogate revolutionary tool, the
twisting of the truth about world events, and on and on in
every facet of human life.  Wouldn't it be nice if the same
Times ad could be run in Isvetia (fat chance). 

The naive of the world are going to have to wake up and smell
the coffee.  The Soviet Union is not going to come to the
barganing table as long as they in a position of power over
the West.  Nuclear disarmament is not going to become the
act of the day because we wish it to happen.  The Soviet 
leaders only seem to understand and recognize power.  We have
to somehow convince them that we are not going to negotiate
from a position of weakness.  Therefore, as sad as it is,
we must maintain a position of strength or throw in the
towel which would mean there would be no more dialogues
such as this.

pvp@ihuxl.UUCP (Philip Polli) (11/16/83)

----------------------------------------------------------------

I don't recall anybody advocating unilateral disarmament by the
West. Perhaps I'm not reading the right (pun intended) magazines.

I do recall people advocating that the West should stop escalating
the nuclear arms race. After all, it was the U.S. which first
developed and built the:

	Hydrogen Bomb,
	Submarine Launched Ballistic Missiles,
	ABM (Anti ballistic missile defense, now mothballed),
	MIRV (Multiple warhead missiles),
	Cruise Missiles,
	
	and coming soon to a country near you,
	MX missiles,
	Midgetman,
	and the Deathstar (space based laser defenses).
	
If I remember right, we built all of these things to promote peace
and harmony and to use as bargaining chips to get the Russians to
the negotiating table. Unfortunately, all that seems to have resulted
is that the Russians built the same damn things and aimed them at us.

The opinion expressed in the article from pyuxa!wetcw appears to be
that we must keep some sort of nuclear advantage over the Russians
in order to get them to negotiate arms reduction and stop stirring
up trouble in the world. This strategy has been followed by us for
the last thirty years, and does not seem to have accomplished anything.

The opinion of a large number of other people is that if we keep
escalating the arms race, we are going to blow ourselves up someday.
It is a historical fact that whenever a new weapon is developed,
no matter how terrible the consequences of its use are thought to be,
(e.g. the crossbow, TNT, etc. ), it ends up being used in a war.
Fortunately, the human race managed to survive its previous attempts
at suicide. We will probably not survive the next.

I, for one, am glad to see BTL scientists taking the lead in
an attempt to halt the arms race.

		Phil Polli
		ihuxl!pvp

jhh@ihldt.UUCP (John Haller) (11/16/83)

If the US had not developed that long list of nuclear weapons,
do you believe that the Soviets would have refrained from
building them first?  I don't.  And if they had built them first
do you beleive that they wouldn't have taken advantage of their
superiority to dominate the world and maintain their supremacy.

I agree that nuclear weapons are a menace, and the world would be
a better place without them.  The mechanism to eliminate them
is not well defined, and we would do as well to bury our heads
in the sand as to unilaterally quit working on nuclear weapons.
The solution is still "Solution Unsatisfactory," as described
by R. A. Heinlein.

			John Haller

larry@ihuxf.UUCP (11/16/83)

A couple years ago there was a TV show "Battlestar Galactica" - personally I
thought the first episodes were VERY good.  Remember what they were about?  A
peacefull bunch of humans that were fighting for their lives against a
tryanical force.  Trouble was that good as their military was, the political
leaders and "the masses" kept wanting to make peace with this force - even
made an peace agreement, and started to dismantal their military.  If you
don't remember the show, the peace agreement was just a stalling tactic to the
bad guys - a way to catch the good guys with their military weakened, and off
guard.

I think that while the story was told with "science fictional" characters, the
basic story was very present day.  I cringe every time I hear of some group of
"peace loving people" trying to get our military position weakened.  I don't
consider myself to be a "hawk", I certainly don't think we should ALWAYS be
the "world's defender", but on the other hand politics alone doesn't do
diddley!  After the Russian's invaded Afghanistan (sp?) and the world was
upset, world leaders gave them essentially a slap on the wrists.  What did the
Russians do then?  Even apologies?  HA!  Personally I am VERY glad that Ronnie
Reagen is tough on the "Red Menace".
-- 


		Larry Marek
		 ihnp4!ihuxf!larry

pvp@ihuxl.UUCP (Philip Polli) (11/16/83)

--------------------------------------------------------------------
>A couple years ago there was a TV show "Battlestar Galactica" - personally I
>thought the first episodes were VERY good.  Remember what they were about?  A
>peacefull bunch of humans that were fighting for their lives against a
>tryanical force.

I would prefer not to try to compare the current world situation
to a TV show. I realize that our president likes to do so,
but I hope that the rest of us can be a little more rational.
If you insist on using Battlestar Galactica as a morality play
for our times, let me remind you that television writers have the
luxury of painting their world black and white. In the real world
things are not so simple. It is simply not true that the United
States is always on the side of the angels, and that we are always a
peaceful, freedom loving people. We support many military dictatorships
throughout the world. We are the worlds leading arms supplier.
We have overthrown both covertly and overtly many freely elected
governments (e.g. Iran, Chile ). We killed hundreds
of thousands of civilians in WWII via firebombing of major population
centers. Going back further in history, we even invaded Russia once.
We also did a pretty good job of exterminating the Indians.

Now please note what I did *not* say in the above paragraph.
I did *not* say that the Russians or other Communists are *better*
than us. I did *not* even say that they are *half* as good as us!
I am trying to explain to people that other countries have some
reasons to be afraid of us, and to try to prevent us from dominating
them. For example, Reagan put Kenneth Adelman in charge of our
nuclear disarmament talks. This particular person is on record
as stating that the disarmament talks should be continued only
to pacify the Russians while we continue to expand our arsenal
of nuclear weapons. What would you think if the Russians did this?
What do you suppose they think?

>Trouble was that good as their military was, the political
>leaders and "the masses" kept wanting to make peace with this force - even
>made an peace agreement, and started to dismantal their military.

Will you please point out exactly where I or any other contributor
to this discussion suggested dismantling our military? We are simply
saying that when you have enough megatonnage to destroy the world
a thousand times over, what is the sense in building more?
Exactly what will it accomplish? If the Russians had 100 times
more nuclear weapons than we did, what would they be able to do
that they can't do already? If the recent Sagan study is correct,
we don't even have to deliver our bombs to the Soviet Union.
All we have to do is explode them in our own country, and the
resulting world-wide holocaust will destroy both of us anyway.

>  If you
>don't remember the show, the peace agreement was just a stalling tactic to the
>bad guys - a way to catch the good guys with their military weakened, and off
>guard.

Again, even if they were able to drop their nuclear arsenal on us
with no counter strike, the resulting world wide dust and radiation
would destroy them also. Or do you you subscribe to the same theory
that an Air Force general proposed to Congress? When asked what
he meant when he talked about winning a nuclear war, he said (roughly)
"If 2 Americans are alive, but only 1 Russian is, that's winning!"

>I think that while the story was told with "science fictional" characters, the
>basic story was very present day.  I cringe every time I hear of some group of
>"peace loving people" trying to get our military position weakened.  I don't
>consider myself to be a "hawk", I certainly don't think we should ALWAYS be
>the "world's defender", but on the other hand politics alone doesn't do
>diddley!

Do you realize that there are a lot of people in Russia who say
exactly the same things? Only they talk about the American threat
to world peace. What difference is there between you and them besides
an accident of birth? By the way, after the number of times Russia
has been invaded (France, Germany, Mongols, U.S., etc.) they probably
have a lot more reason to be paranoid about national security than we do.

>  After the Russian's invaded Afghanistan (sp?) and the world was
>upset, world leaders gave them essentially a slap on the wrists.

What would you propose we do? If we had the only nuclear weapons in the
world, would you threaten them with a nuclear attack? Do you believe
that the threat of mass murder is the best way to get other nations
to behave? Would nuking Leningrad be a good way to show our displeasure
with the Russians? Would you mind if they nuked Chicago because we
invaded Grenada?

>  What did the
>Russians do then?  Even apologies?

The Russians reacted in very much the same way that Reagan reacted
when presented with the UN resolution deploring the invasion
of Grenada.

>  HA!  Personally I am VERY glad that Ronnie
>Reagen is tough on the "Red Menace".

Unfortunately, Ronald Reagans "toughness" is all talk and no action.
At least Carter had the guts to cut off Russian grain shipments
and boycott their Olympics. What has Ronnie done besides give more
money to defense contractors to build more bombs, and make sneak
attacks on little islands in the Carribean? We used to think that
there was something morally repugnant about a country that would send
their airplanes in a sneak attack on another country. Remember
Pearl Harbor? At least the Japanese had the guts to attack someone
their own size, and a sense of shame when they discovered
that the declaration of war had not been delivered before the attack.
We seem to have neither.

		Phil Polli
		ihuxl!pvp
		

4341mrz@houxn.UUCP (M.ZBORAY) (11/16/83)

I'm afraid I must agree with John Haller.
I think we all would agree that weapons of war sould g`be eliminated.
On the other hand, restraining only one of two parties which do not trust
each other only invites beating for the one who is restained.
I would speculate that the reason the we build more advanced weapons first
is that technologically we are slightly adavanced comaredt to the USSR.
I don't think it is because we intend upon escalating an arms race.
Finally, when they submit a petition advocating motherhood and apple pie,
I want to sign it too!
That is to say there is a simple solution to a complex problem between 
two nations is naive.
I'm afraid that the USSR's track record on human rights and other issues 
is disturbing enough that I'd rather not lowwer my defenses until 
I see a new track record.
Of couse, one may point a finger back at US and say we have faults also
but I am much more confident that our dirty laundry will get aired before
anyone elses will.
Thankyou for listening.
Yours Truly
Michael R. Zboray

walsh@ihuxi.UUCP (11/16/83)

Re: Phil Polli's comments,

I can see your point on most everything you said, with the exception of
the remark about Carter having the guts to boycott the Olympics and
end grain shipments to Russia. These particular actions hurt the US much
more than the Russians and I don't think it showed much 'guts' to do so.
(Note: this does NOT mean I would have advocated any military action in
this case; I simply don't think those actions did anything to hurt the
Russians, and I would have preferred NO action to action that hurt us.)
Granted, I can think of nothing we could have done to hurt them without
hurting ourselves as well, but I'm open to suggestions.

B. Walsh

4341mrz@houxn.UUCP (M.ZBORAY) (11/16/83)

I also believe that at the current arms levels, we could detonate the 
missles in our own country and still destroy the world with radiation.
On the other hand, it is not the power that you actually have which will
prevent an agressor from attacking but the perception that they have of
your power.
A woman walking in Central Park at night may be well able to defend herself
but I suspect she will be defending herself more often than a man who is
less well prepared.
M.R. Zboray

alle@ihuxb.UUCP (Allen England) (11/17/83)

From Phillip Polli:
  > If the recent Sagan study is correct,
  > we don't even have to deliver our bombs to the Soviet Union.
  > All we have to do is explode them in our own country, and the
  > resulting world-wide holocaust will destroy both of us anyway.

The operative word in this statement is IF!

  > >  HA!  Personally I am VERY glad that Ronnie
  > >Reagen is tough on the "Red Menace".

  > Unfortunately, Ronald Reagans "toughness" is all talk and no action.
  > At least Carter had the guts to cut off Russian grain shipments
  > and boycott their Olympics. What has Ronnie done besides give more
  > money to defense contractors to build more bombs, and make sneak
  > attacks on little islands in the Carribean? We used to think that
  > there was something morally repugnant about a country that would send
  > their airplanes in a sneak attack on another country. Remember
  > Pearl Harbor? At least the Japanese had the guts to attack someone
  > their own size, and a sense of shame when they discovered
  > that the declaration of war had not been delivered before the attack.
  > We seem to have neither.

How about the deployment of missiles in Europe??  You don't think that
was being tough on the Russians??  Then why are they so unhappy over
this development and trying every thing they can think of short of
war to thwart this deployment??  I cannot figure how you could
characterize Carter as a tough President.  The cutting off of the
grain shipments hurt Americans much more than the Soviets.  Boycotting
the Olympics was not too effective either.

Your are spouting the same old tired rhetoric about Grenada and I
will not even bother to respond to that.  You will have to admit that
the public indignation in Grenada was not even slightly comparable
to that in the US after Pearl Harbor.  Also, Reagan avoided a
situation that was the downfall of Carter by invading Grenada, namely
another potential hostage situation.

Allen England at AT&T Bell Laboratories, Naperville, IL
ihnp4!ihuxb!alle

okie@ihuxs.UUCP (B.K. Cobb) (11/17/83)

Alright, alright -- move it net.politics or net.flame.  Enough is
too much, esp. in btl.general!

BKC

larry@ihuxf.UUCP (11/17/83)

While it was true that TV shows can be a little more "black & white" (no pun
intended) than real life - I wasn't trying to say that the US is on the same
side as the angels.  I'm not even saying that the US should STOCK PILE the
overload of nuclear weapons that currently has.  What I was trying to point
out is that the US can *NOT* afford to lose what little TECHNILOGICAL
advantage we have.  Disarmiment talks seem to focus on the "most threatening"
weapons -- naturally those that are the newest.  (When was the last time the
peace talks met to agree on the number of arrows we have?)

Of course super technical weapons is not ALWAYS the answer either.  Our F-16
fighters may be the most advanced thing in the air - trouble is we have a hard
tie KEEPING them in the air.  Since they are so expensive there aren't that
many and when you account for those planes that our out of service, we end up
with very few that are actually flyable.  Maybe this suggests that we should
have less sophisticated/expensive "disposable" hardware.

There was a one of those "political humor" cartoons in the paper recently that
had the caption: "Guess which of these weapons has kill more people", three of
the pictures were typical weapons such as a nuclear bomb, MX missle, and the
likes.  The forth was a pickup type truck with TNT in it speeding towards a
building.  Not a very funny cartoon, but it certainly said something.
-- 


		Larry Marek
		 ihnp4!ihuxf!larry

mmt@dciem.UUCP (Martin Taylor) (11/18/83)

Another "Allan England says":
How about the deployment of missiles in Europe??  You don't think that
was being tough on the Russians??  Then why are they so unhappy over
this development and trying every thing they can think of short of
war to thwart this deployment??
==========
How do you figure putting Pershings and Cruise missiles in Europe
is being tough on the Russians? It may be tough on the West Europeans,
but the Russians??? All it accomplishes is that WE now have to rely
on the Russians having computers good enough to be sure never to
initiate any false-alarms that can't be found in 6 minutes. Are OUR
military computers that good? If you think their computers are so much
better than ours, then why was the US Administration so concerned about
letting them see a VAX-11/782 last week?

Of course the Russians are worried about the missiles in Europe. So
should any rational person be. They are DANGEROUS. To the Europeans,
firstly, and to us a few minutes later.

Confucius say: Ostrich with head in sand get bottom shot.

Martin Taylor

eich@uiuccsb.UUCP (11/20/83)

#R:ihuxm:-70300:uiuccsb:11000048:000:712
uiuccsb!eich    Nov 16 18:36:00 1983


Though it's kind of inconvenient for your argument, the MX is
not yet here but the SS-18 has been for quite a while (up to
model 4 now...).  This missile, with up to 10 MIRVS, was developed
during the heyday of detente, the time of such nonsense as the
Apollo-Soyuz linkup and the continuation of McNamara's 1967 freeze
on new strategic land-based missile programs (unilateral, needless
to say).  Some Freeze (the new one) advocates unwisely but plaintively
point to the Soviet's over-reliance on land-based missiles as a good
reason for the Russians to reject START.  It's also a good reason to
suspect that they a trying for strategic superiority, since these
missiles hard-target, and that's not deterrence.

eich@uiuccsb.UUCP (11/20/83)

#R:ihuxm:-70300:uiuccsb:11000062:000:712
uiuccsb!eich    Nov 17 15:16:00 1983


Though it's kind of inconvenient for your argument, the MX is
not yet here but the SS-18 has been for quite a while (up to
model 4 now...).  This missile, with up to 10 MIRVS, was developed
during the heyday of detente, the time of such nonsense as the
Apollo-Soyuz linkup and the continuation of McNamara's 1967 freeze
on new strategic land-based missile programs (unilateral, needless
to say).  Some Freeze (the new one) advocates unwisely but plaintively
point to the Soviet's over-reliance on land-based missiles as a good
reason for the Russians to reject START.  It's also a good reason to
suspect that they a trying for strategic superiority, since these
missiles hard-target, and that's not deterrence.

andree@uokvax.UUCP (11/21/83)

#R:ihuxm:-70300:uokvax:5000023:000:449
uokvax!andree    Nov 18 08:56:00 1983

Yes, escalation of the arms race hasn't achieved much. However,
there is no indication that the Soviets would stop escalating if
we did. After all, many of the US weapons developments (ICBM,
asat and others) were developed IN RESPONSE to Soviet weapons
research.

I agree that it would be nice if we stopped our side of the arms
escalation. However, I don't know of a realistic strategy to
replace what we've been using. Can you suggest one?

	<mike

leff@smu.UUCP (11/21/83)

#R:ihuxm:-70300:smu:16500003:000:292
smu!leff    Nov 20 15:50:00 1983

What evidence do you have that women are victims of crime more often
than men?

I have heard this many times but have never gotten any statistics to
that effect.  It may very well be true, but since a lot of people's
actions are based on this belief, it would be nice to verify its
veracity.

courtney@hp-pcd.UUCP (11/23/83)

#R:ihuxm:-70300:hp-pcd:17400034:000:696
hp-pcd!courtney    Nov 17 08:54:00 1983

What the response by "wetcw" misses is the fact that the ecosphere that we
depend on for life itself is unlikely to survive a detonation of between a
tenth and a half of the CURRENTLY EXISTING nuclear weapons.  Thus whether
you count the explosions as they knock out weapon silos or as the knock out
cities, THE DESTRUCTIVE POWER OF TODAY'S NUCLEAR WEAPONS IS LONG PAST
OVERKILL!!!  So any further development/deployment only serves to destabilize
the relations between world STUPOR-POWERS.

Missile deployment in Western Europe stikes me to be chillingly similar to the
events that led to the Cuban Missile Crisis, which is the closest the world
has ever come to World War III.

Courtney Loomis