[net.politics] Nicaraguan Arms Smuggling

bitmap@ucbtopaz.CC.Berkeley.ARPA (04/08/84)

<....>
Someone expressed disbelief that arms were being, or even possibly
could be, smuggled from Nicaragua to El Salvador.  This person,
noting that there is not even a common border, suggested that
people should learn a little geography before believing things.

Well, I knew that Nicaragua and El Salvador were separated,
slightly, by Honduras, but it never hurts to learn a little
geography.  Upon consulting my atlas, it appears that the closest
distance between the two countries is ~10 miles, which would
involve crossing a bay of water, and about 40 miles by land.
I don't understand how these distances are supposed to prevent arms
smuggling from Nicaragua to El Salvador, assuming that the
(alleged) smugglers are not so polite as to notify the govt. of
Honduras with a request for permission to cross its territory.  My
understanding is that part of the reason for having military "exercises"
in Honduras was to interrupt the smuggling through there.

Does the person who felt that a common border was a requisite for
smuggling not believe that cocaine is smuggled the ~1200 mile
distance from Columbia to Florida?

Sam Hall
decvax!ucbvax!ucbtopaz!bitmap

dire@dartvax.UUCP (John Macario) (04/08/84)

 
 
> Someone expressed disbelief that arms were being, or even possibly
> could be, smuggled from Nicaragua to El Salvador.  This person,
> noting that there is not even a common border, suggested that
> people should learn a little geography before believing things.

> Well, I knew that Nicaragua and El Salvador were separated,
> slightly, by Honduras, but it never hurts to learn a little
> geography.  Upon consulting my atlas, it appears that the closest
> distance between the two countries is ~10 miles, which would
> involve crossing a bay of water, and about 40 miles by land.
> I don't understand how these distances are supposed to prevent arms
> smuggling from Nicaragua to El Salvador, assuming that the
> (alleged) smugglers are not so polite as to notify the govt. of
> Honduras with a request for permission to cross its territory.  My
> understanding is that part of the reason for having military "exercises"
> in Honduras was to interrupt the smuggling through there.


  My point was that the areas of contra attacks were not tens but
hundreds of miles away from the Gulf of Fonseca.  Reports from
the border towns, both by workers for international relief
agencies and personal contacts, indicate that the contra activity
is limited to terrorizing the local population and disrupting
their main source of income, the coffee and cotton harvest.  This
disruption is both direct (burning of fields) and subtle (forcing
the most able bodied individuals to spend their time defending
the border instead of harvesting).

  An interesting conversation took place recently between the US
ambassador to Nicaragua, Anthony Quainton and Jim Wallis, a
reporter for the Christian magazine "Sojourners".

Quainton:  We now know that massive amounts of arms are going
from Nicaragua to El Salvador across the Gulf of Fonseca by
dugout canoe.

Wallis:  Massive amounts?  By canoe?

Quainton:  Well, substantial amounts.

Wallis:  Do you have any documentation?  There must be
evidence --- the US has a lot of sophisticated surveillance
equipment there.

Quainton:  Well, no.  We don't have photographs.  The canoes are
too small to be detected by our satellites.

  I can see it now, huge flotillas of dugout canoes transporting
all of Samoza's old rocket launchers and M-16's across the gulf.
Next thing you know the canoes will be traveling up the Gulf of
California, then the arms can be transported across the US border
near Mexicali to guerrillas in southern California.

  I can't understand why the US is so threatened by the
Nicaraguans, a country whose main concern is feeding and
defending its population.  Personally I fell more threatened by
the massive US military build up in Honduras...I for one have no
intention of spending a couple of years in army fatigues in
Tegucigalpa.

-- 
John Macario
UUCP:  {decvax|linus|cornell}!dartvax!dire
CSNET: dire@dartmouth
ARPA:  dire%dartmouth@csnet-relay
US MAIL:  10 TERRACE VIEW
Y7+Lebanon, NH 03766

PHONE:Y7+(603)-448-3095

notes@iuvax.UUCP (04/10/84)

#R:ucbtopaz:-45500:iuvax:2000022:000:1244
iuvax!scsg    Apr  9 13:10:00 1984


It was no surprise to me to read in US News and World Report, a
fervent Reagan backer, that there is a new concern expressed that
many of the arms reaching the rebels were originally sent to help
the government.  The exact charge was repeated in Vietnam -
North Vietnam is the main source of supply to the Viet Cong, thus
we had to drop more bombs than we did in all of World War 2 on the
Ho Chi Minh Trail.  But then, surprise, surprise!! it turns out that
one-third of the S. Vietnamese gov't declared themselves to be
Viet Cong.  (of course no doubt many of those were trying to preserve
their positions in the new government)  The rulers in countries like
S. Vietnam or El Salvador are not interested in ideology-they want
money and power.  If selling guns to rebels makes them money they will
be glad to do so.  The more guns we send to El Salvador, the more guns
will slip into rebel hands by mysterious means.  When   a corrupt elite
has no concern for the Death Squads killing their citizens, can you
expect them to deny the money to be gained by selling to the other side?
The question is: why do people want to take up arms against their
government in the first place??
tim sevener
Indiana University, Bloomington
pur-ee!iuvax!scsg

saquigley@watmath.UUCP (Sophie Quigley) (04/17/84)

John Macario:
>   I can't understand why the US is so threatened by the
> Nicaraguans, a country whose main concern is feeding and
> defending its population.  Personally I fell more threatened by
> the massive US military build up in Honduras...I for one have no
> intention of spending a couple of years in army fatigues in
> Tegucigalpa.

The answer lies again in the all powerful "domino theory".  If Nicaragua,
a relatively small and very poor country can have a "successful" revolution,
meaning a revolution which restores a semblance of democracy to the country
and more importantly manages to feed its population, it would be a wonderful
role model for all those other bigger poor countries who have similar problems
to Nicaragua's.

This is a real threat to the US interests (no joke) and is why it is taken
seriously.  It is very hard to know whether the revolution will succeed, but
before this covert war started it looked pretty successful.  Polio has nearly
been erradicated from the country, the litteracy rate has gone up an incredible
amount (I don't know any figures) and human rights have greatly improved from
what they were in the Somoza days.  Does this sound familiar?  yes, parallels
can very easily be drawn between the Nicaraguan and cuban revolution. The
parallel carries over in the US attitude towards these 2 revolutions: refusal
to help the revolution out and outward denial of the reality that the people
after having had a taste of liberty (the central american type) and after having
lost so many people in the fight to get that liberty cannot go back
to the way they were before. 

It is not obvious what the best US attitude toward this kind of revolution
would be.  If it fully supports the Nicaraguan revolution, this will be a
very good example for other countries to have their own, and that might prove
to be disastrous economically to the US.  If they declare war on Nicaragua
or continue refusing to support it somewhat, this might push it in the USSR
camp like it pushed Cuba in.  The Sandanista government has clearly stated
many times that they didn't want to lose their hard won liberty to the
communist block, but they might be forced to for economic reasons if they
do not get more support from the West.  It is not clear which is the best of
the two evils for the US and that is why they have been conducting the
wishy-washy type of war they have been. 

To me it seems that the best solution for the US would be to declare an all
out war, and completely destroy the whole country, there would be nobody left
to go with the Russians, and it would certainly serve as a good example for
other countries to stay in their place.  Unfortunately for the US, and 
fortunately for the Nicaraguans, it seems that the US is not sure of exactly
how dangerous such an action would be.  This is why it is conducting these
little tests of public opinion: Grenada, the minings.  Does this sound vaguely
familiar again? although I'd hesitate to compare the US with Nazi Germany, the
parallels are somewhat disturbing in the case of Nicaragua.  History does
repeat itself and it seems that the world opinion wrt US action in Nicaragua
is nearly as indolent at the UK was when Hitler commited his first little
breaches of the Treaty of Versailles.

One bright line on the gloomy horizon.  Judging from what is happening in
other South American countries, it seems that the US is starting to recognise
that prevention is the way to deal with such disturbing problems.  One can
note that South American countries as a whole seem to be moving slightly
towards democracy, Argentina being the best example.  There is no way this
could have been done without the US "benediction".  Whether the move is
fast enough for the citizens of these countries remains to be seen, but it
seems that the domino theory is working in that Cuba, Grenada, and Nicaragua
have worked as examples to the US (ironically) of the type of mess they might
not want to get involved in in the future.

Sophie Quigley
...!{clyde,ihnp4,decvax,allegra}!watmath!saquigley

al@ames-lm.UUCP (Al Globus) (04/20/84)

I get deja vu everytime someone tells me about all the wonderful
things that have happened in Nicaragua since the revolution.  I
think about all the wonderful things that Americans visiting Russia
in the 30's told us about Communism, while Stalin murdered tens
of millions of Soviet citizens.  I think about all the folk in the
60's that assured me that hunger had been eliminated in China, which
turned out not to be true at all.  The similarity is straight forward,
all those good things happen where we can't get a good look at what's
going on.  The information is controlled by the local government and
they come out looking sweet.

Maybe Nicaragua's different, but that picture of a soldier holding
an automatic rifle at a baseball game didn't make much sense 
(Co-Evolution Quarterly).  And
what about that priest that Nicaragua said the Contra's killed, who
came marching out of the jungle a few weeks later at the head of
a few hundred Indians.  He had some harsh words for the Sandinstas.
And how about Commander Zero?  Why's he fighting the government and,
unlike the turkeys the CIA is backing, winning?

The U.S. has run Latin America for decades, and we've done a lousy
job.  Whatever trouble Russia stirred up is tiny compared to the
damage we've done with our manipulation and repeated invasions.  We
should get out, but don't give me a bunch of bunk about how wonderful
Nicaragua is now that no one can get a good close look at what's
happening.

Incidentally, I suspect Russia wants us to do exactly what Reagan
is trying to do, get heavily involved with troops on the ground.
It will be a morass that will sap our strength and divert our
attention.  And we certainly won't be doing the locals any favors.