[net.politics] Libertarian Ignorance of Economics: Cobwebs: Reply to nrh

orb@whuxl.UUCP (SEVENER) (06/04/85)

> From me: 
> >When Mr. Sykora admits that he has never heard of the "cobweb effect" by
> >which a free market can develop wild oscillations (all following the
> >theoretical formulations of neoclassical "free market" economics)
> >then I wonder about his understanding of the "free market" that he touts
> >as the answer to all economic problems in general.
> 
> From nrh:
> *I* have heard of the "cobweb effect".  I believe it is a hypothetical
> economic effect, thoroughly demolished in this forum by Daniel Mck., as
> depending upon (as I recall) farmers not realizing their greater 
> economic interests.....

  1)Daniel Mck did *not* "demolish" the cobweb effect - he conceded its
    theoretical possibility but then said it could never happen for
    precisely the reason you state: "farmers not realizing their greater
    economic interests".
  
   2)That avowed "rebuttal" to the cobweb effect (the cobweb effect is when
     prices and supply oscillate wildly rather than moving towards a stable
     equilibrium.  It occurs unders situations of inelasticity of demand
     coupled with high cyclical elasticities of supply - the classic case
     is agriculture with high demand for food no matter what the price,
     while the amount of crops put in the ground a given season vary greatly
     depending upon price the previous season)
     shows 
          a)that Daniel Mck. was willing to throw away one of the key 
            assumptions underlying the avowed efficiency of free markets
            when it led to a result he didn't like
          b)that you don't know what that key assumption is

The key assumption is that *regardless of their collective economic interests*
producers in the free market will produce according to the market price
which they cannot determine individually.  Certainly if all the farmers got
together they would see that they might make far more money by actually
producing *less* of an essential commodity (namely food) and forcing people
to pay higher prices for what they need to live. But there is a name for
that situation: it is called *monopoly*.  Yet *monopoly power* is exactly
what cannot hold sway in order to have a free market in which supply meets
demand freely. Instead a free market assumes a number of producers each of
which cannot control overall production.  Since they cannot control overall
production each farmer must take crop prices as a given and maximize their
marginal return based upon the market price.  In which case it makes no
difference what may be good for *all* farmers - each farmer is forced to
consider only her *own individual interests*.  When they begin to see they
have a collective interest then you get:
   *politics*  *social movements*  to wit in this country *Agrarian Populism*

In fact this is precisely what happened in the 30's when agriculture 
collapsed during the Great Depression. Farmers formed cooperatives,
got government price supports and supported other collective measures to
insure they could survive and produce more food than any other country
in the world despite the ravages of the free market and the cobweb effect.
I find it ironic that Libertarians have so little understanding of their
own economic theory which they so *blindly* adhere to.
                            tim sevener  whuxl!orb

mms1646@acf4.UUCP (Michael M. Sykora) (06/06/85)

Given this assumption, you now need to show that under such
circumstances, a statist system is more likely to perform
better than a free market one.

					Mike Sykora