[net.politics] Probability of nuclear war

s257@sol1.UUCP (s257) (08/02/85)

I am working on a hazards analysis for the Corps of Engineers, and they are
interested in estimating the chances of various disasters striking the
water and sewer systems of San Antonio.  One of the disasters that they 
expressed an interest in is nuclear war.  So--does anyone out there know of any
work that has been done to put a number on the chances of such a disaster
occurring within say the next five years?

Before you ask--No, the corps is not particularly interested in nuclear war
in and of itself.  I suspect that all of us would like the number to be small
enough to forget.  And, no, they have nothing up their sleeve w.r.t. San
Antonio.  It's just a place with a rather tender water supply.

Thanks,
hh