[net.politics] REsponse to Oded Feingold -- US and Soviet Union

mahoney@bach.DEC (01/18/86)

---------------------Reply to mail dated 15-JAN-1986 19:09---------------------

>
>    So why doesn't the US attack Syria?  Two  reasons:  
>    1.   We  are  scared  to  death of the USSR, because Reagan unwisely
>chose to invest more in strategic weapons (of which  there  are  already
>plenty) and less in conventional deterrence.  For this, the Soviet moles
>in the cabinet and defense department  can  take  well-deserved  credit.
>WITH GOOD REASON -- in anything short of nuclear confrontation, they can
>crunch us, and they know we know it.  Syria is closely allied  with  the
>USSR,  and  an attack on her can be expected to call down a heavy Soviet
>response.
> 
>Oded Feingold     MIT AI Lab.   545 Tech Square    Cambridge, Mass. 02139
>OAF%OZ@MIT-MC.ARPA   {harvard, ihnp4!mit-eddie}!mitvax!oaf   617-253-8598

Most of the Article that this came from I agreed with and found amusing.
This part of it I tend to disagree with though.  I agree that at the beginning
of the war with the Soviets the would begin to win.  There are some factors
that would hinder a victory for them though.  I believe that the US would
eventually be the victor.  

     One our industrial might is far superior to the Soviets and our 
   equipment is also.(Even though it doesn't always appear that way).
   The reason we beat the Germans is that we out produced them we 
   manufactured so much stuff that we flooded them with our goods.
   It came to the point that for every one German plane we shot down
   they had to get 100 of ours.  For every one ship we sank they had
   to sink five of ours.  The Germans could not compete.

   Two the US allies are a lot more dependable then are the Soviet Allies.
   Remember every European "Ally" except Bulgaria invaded the Soviet Union
   in WWII.  The also have the problem of China the Chinese still think most
   of Siberia should be part of China and was stolen by the Soviet Union.
   And if you go on purely conventional war we have two oceans which make it
   pretty difficult to invade considering we have if not the largest one
   of the largest submarine forces in the world.  Our Navy is also one of
   the best navies in the world.


   I believe in the long run the US would win any conventional war with the 
   Soviet Union.


   The other thing that I disagreed with was that it seems you implied that
   the Soviet Union would use armed conflict to support Syria.  The Soviet
   Union has never sent in men against the US.  They will give weapons and
   monetary support but I doubt they would risk troops.  Look at Korea,
   Vietnam and the numerous wars in the Mideast.  They have never sent troops
   farther away then what is directly on their borders and I believe that
   will remain true.


  Brian Mahoney
  "The eternal optimist usually gets it in the end."
  mahoney%bach.dec@decwrl.arpa