[net.invest] let's be visionary for a moment...

pds@tove.UUCP (Dave Stotts) (10/03/85)

How about a bit of healthy and creative speculation...

What are the feelings about the (perhaps) impending new "Steve Jobs"
company, now that he has left Apple (or whatever one chooses to call
his exit)?  Is the firm likely to be a good investment, when and if
it goes public?  Or will expectations be so high that the initial stock
prices will be overrated?  Or will the company have to spend all its
earnings for the first 50 years paying off the Apple lawsuits? 

Here is an initial comment to get things rolling:

Several news reports have Jobs saying that he wants to work on a product
(shall we say, workstation) for the academic environment.  Will the
market not be much more limited and narrow than that of the general-purpose
home and business machines Apple has produced in the past?  I would think
so, and hence the earnings potential would seem to be less for such a 
company.  They already have stiff competition from the likes of Sun, 
Apollo, etc.

Dave Stotts
Univ. of Maryland Computer Science
pds@maryland

ekwok@cadsys.UUCP (Kwok Ed) (10/08/85)

My gut feelings tells me that it probably will be a flop. Examples of
one-good-turn-does-not-deserve-another are Encore computer, Gavilan,
Trilogy, although successes such as Amdahl, Cray Research are there.
Empirical evidence aside, reading about it in the paper, it seems that
the idea that Jobs has is this: start a new company, the product can come
later. That idea and similar ones do not in practice work (I've never
started a company, so don't quote me). So my crystal ball says, if you
are invited to chip in, do it for the friendship (possible) not for the
pocket book.

-- 
So there ...

Disclaimer : Why do a need a disclaimer? All opinions above are mine and
nobody else's. So if you would please step outside ...

Edward C. Kwok
Intel Corp.,
Santa Clara, CA 95051.
(408)-987-8080