[net.invest] Barron's Mutual Fund Survey

tut@sun.uucp (Bill Tuthill) (03/14/86)

Somebody asked for it, so here it is: a summary of Barron's recent
report on mutual funds, which appeared 17 February 1986.

The thrust of the article is that mutual fund assets have soared
(with sales of $114.3 billion in 1985 versus $45.9 billion in 1984),
but performance has not (all mutual funds averaged 27.17% in 1985,
while the S&P 500 climbed 31.79%).  This is the 10th straight quarter
that mutual funds have lagged the market.  This is to be expected,
since funds impose a management fee that sooner or later detracts
from overall return.

The article includes some great tables taken from Lipper Analytical
Services, an organization that tracks mutual funds.  Unfortunately,
Lipper figures are always oriented towards the calendar year or
quarter, which effectively obscures real market cycles underneath.
Quarterly results don't mean much, because a fund that does well
this quarter will probably do poorly next quarter.  So instead, here
are the top 10 funds between 30 June 1982 (a month and a half before
the start of the bull market) and 31 December 1986:

				million
		       %change  assets
Hemisphere Fund		395.15	   8.4	closed
Fidelity Sel Financial	215.47	 143.2	2% load 1% redemption
Fidelity Magellan	212.85	4136.0	3% load
Legg Mason Value Trust	197.91	 421.7	1% hidden load
Lehman Opportunity	196.45	  87.4	no load
Fairmont Fund		186.79	  51.5	8.5% load
Vanguard QDSP I		185.77	 169.3	closed
Putnam Int'l Equities	177.77	  90.4	8.5% load
Loomis-Sayles Capital	176.31	 170.4	closed
Quasar Associates	173.20	 115.3	no load

These funds have done well, but over a period that includes only
one bear market, in 1984.  Some of them (especially Loomis-Sayles
and Quasar) are extremely volatile, and will probably suffer in
the next bear market.  I've never heard of the Hemisphere Fund,
but since it's closed, I guess it doesn't matter.

Bill Tuthill