[net.startrek] Spock's not so smart

nunes@utcsrgv.UUCP (Joe Nunes) (01/19/84)

   Regarding the Star Trek episode "The Galileo 7", the following comment was
made about Spock's actions:

>>                      ... he illogically takes the gamble of jettisonning
>> and igniting the remainder of the shuttlecraft's fuel as a signal flare to
>> attract the attention of the Enterprise should it be nearby.

   I've heard this criticism hundreds of times (including in the show itself),
and I'm surprised that nobody has noticed that it's completely mistaken.
   The options available to Spock were as follows:

      1. Action:  Do nothing
         Result:  0% chance of survival (shuttle would burn up in re-entry)

      2. Action:  Ignite remainder of fuel
         Result:  0.000....001% chance of survival (Enterprise could be nearby)

   The only logical choice (by any laws of logic I know) was exactly the
one that Spock took.

rjnoe@ihlts.UUCP (01/23/84)

I made the following comment a while back:
>                      ... he illogically takes the gamble of jettisonning
> and igniting the remainder of the shuttlecraft's fuel as a signal flare to
> attract the attention of the Enterprise should it be nearby.

The response:
>   I've heard this criticism hundreds of times (including in the show itself),
>and I'm surprised that nobody has noticed that it's completely mistaken.
>   The only logical choice (by any laws of logic I know) was exactly the
>one that Spock took.

First off, it is NOT criticism of Spock that he made the choice he did.  The
action was laudable and shows us that Spock is capable of such thinking.  There
was more than ZERO probability that the Galileo 7 and those aboard would be
saved had he done nothing.  The reason is that the engines would operate
LONGER that way.  If the Enterprise were nearby, there would be that much
more time (and hence greater probability) for its sensors to detect the
shuttlecraft.  By jettisonning fuel and igniting it, Spock is hoping that
someone on the Enterprise is nearby AND watching at that particular instant.
As soon as all the fuel is gone (matter of seconds, rather than minutes had
he not ignited it) the orbit immediately starts to decay and there is no
longer any chance of being saved.  If anyone can really estimate the
relative probabilities of the two courses of action in light of these points,
I'd be very interested in reading your analysis.
	Roger Noe		...ihnp4!ihlts!rjnoe