piner@pur-phy.UUCP (Richard Piner) (01/08/86)
Posted: Fri Dec 27, 1985 4:38 PM EST Msg: KGIF-2145-3006 From: RPARK To: WHATSNEW Subj: WHAT'S NEW, December 27, 1985 Washington, D.C. 1. SCIENTIFIC AND ENGINEERING MANPOWER TRENDS for the remainder of this century are explored in a technical memorandum issued by the Office of Technology Assessment at the request of the Science Policy Task Force of the House Committee on Science and Technology. A projected decline of 22% in the college-age population in the next decade has led to concern about the supply of scientists and engineers. Moreover, an increasing fraction of the college-age population will be black or Hispanic, groups that have historically shied away from science and engineering. Increased participation by women could easily compensate for demographic changes, but women are discouraged by gender-stereotyped career expectations and unequal treatment of women in the scientific and engineering work force. According to the study, they are still at a considerable disadvantage with respect to salary and promotion. The study cautions that demographic trends are not necessarily translated into manpower shortages. Market forces in the form of salaries and opportunities tend to overwhelm demographics. In the mid-sixties, the Manpower Mobilization Board was pressuring universities to increase the production rate of PhD scientists in anticipation of severe shortages by 1970, which turned out in fact to be serious surpluses. Apparently mindful of this history, the report concludes that the government's role in alleviating shortages of scientists and engineers is limited. (#052-003-01014-3, $6, OTA, 600 Pa Ave SE, DC 20510) 2. CIRCULAR A-21, the Office of Management and Budget rules for determining the indirect cost recovery by universities on federal grants, is being revised along the lines of a recent recommendation by OSTP, (What's New, November 29). The good news is that the onerous requirement for effort reporting by faculty members will be dropped from the new version. Also missing will be the requirement for documentation of mandatory cost-sharing. The elimination of the controversial effort reporting requirement appears to be sweetening to cover the bitter taste of a provision that would fix the rate for administrative cost pools at a single fixed percent of modified total direct costs common to all universities. According to recently departed Science Advisor to the President, George Keyworth, this would "alleviate the primary source of acrimony and suspicion between university administrators, their faculty and the federal government." Since a national average will be used to determine the level of administrative costs, the provision should have zero impact on the budget. For this reason, administration officials believe that A-21 can be changed by OMB without going to Congress. BEST WISHES FOR THE NEW YEAR! Robert L. Park (202) 429-1946 American Physical Society THAT'S ALL 12/27/85