[net.games.pbm] Albion Aardvark Spring '01 Orders

ar@duke.UUCP (Andrew L. Reibman) (08/04/85)

	ALBION AARDVARK  	-      1985-????


Headlines:

	Im Westen ist Nichts
	(Im Osten, wie auch)

Orders for Spring '01:

Russia:
	F StP -> GoB
  	A Mos -> Ukr
  	A War -> Liv
  	F Sev -> Blk 

France:
	A Mar -> Spa
	F Bre -> MiA
	A Par -> Bur

Italy:
	A Ven -> Pie
	A Rom -> Apu
	F Nap -> Ion

Austria-Hungary:
	A Bud -> Ser
	A Vie -> Bud
	F Tri - Alb

England:
	F Lon -> Nth
	F Edi -> Nor
	A Liv -> Wal

Turkey:
	A Con -> Bul
	F Ank -> Con
	A Smy H

Germany:
	A Mun - Ruh
	A Ber - Kie
	F Kie - Hol

Fall Moves are due August 16th.

Fall '01 Moves are due August 16th.
Kibbitzers are cordially invited!

	Andrew Reibman
	...{allegra,decvax,ihnp4}!duke!ar

david@fisher.UUCP (David Rubin) (08/06/85)

> Russia:	F StP -> GoB	A Mos -> Ukr	A War -> Liv	F Sev -> Blk 
> France:	A Mar -> Spa	F Bre -> MiA	A Par -> Bur
> Italy:	A Ven -> Pie	A Rom -> Apu	F Nap -> Ion
> Austria:	A Bud -> Ser	A Vie -> Bud	F Tri - Alb
> England:	F Lon -> Nth	F Edi -> Nor	A Liv -> Wal
> Turkey:	A Con -> Bul	F Ank -> Con	A Smy H
> Germany:	A Mun - Ruh	A Ber - Kie	F Kie - Hol

Comments:

All standard stuff, with only one truly unusual (and mistaken) move.
Russia opens cautiously and neutrally, trusting no one and offending
no one;  France begins flexibly, threatening both Italy and Germany
without committing against either; Italy appears pro-Austrian and
anti-Turkish, wise considering the implications of the Turkish move;
Austria appears pro-Italian and unsure of the East; England flubs its
army order (what's it going to do in Wales?) in pursuing the same sort
of policy as Russia, albeit less expertly; Turkey is pro-Russian and
therefore immediately anti-Austrian and inevitably anti-Italian;
Germany temporizes in the Anglo-Russian style.

My guess is that France has emerged as the swing power, and can use
that position to maximize her prospects.  In the East, unless Russia
has totally deluded the Turks, a Russo-Turkish alliance seems likely
to come to grips with an Austro-Italian one; In the North, the Germans
ought to be quite jumpy about the prospects of A Lvn -> Swe, and would
like a free hand in the West, while England has so bolluxed up its
opening as to damage its ability to exploit the likely bidding by
Berlin and St. Petersburg for her services.  France will likely be
given a free hand, as all of her neighbors are most anxious to have
her go the other way.  If she heads for the Mediterranean, the
Italians will be unable to support the Austrians, and Turkish fleets
will flood the Mediterranean -- an unappetizing prospect.  France should
try to make the best deal in the North, which she will likely get only
if if England and Germany are kept apart.

Russia, too, is a swing power.  She has promised to support Turkey,
but if she can persuade France to pressure Italy, she will begin
receiving love letters from Vienna.  Russia may then use Italian
distraction westwards to either stab Turkey or rapidly dismember
Austria in cooperation with Turkey.

Austria, Turkey, and Italy are committed in their courses.  They
cannot change their strategies without having wasted valuable time.
They will exert their efforts diplomatically in well-determined ways
reflecting, not their greater sense of purpose, but their limited
options in the near future.  Italy will concentrate on placating
France, Turkey will seek to insure Russian fidelity, and Austria will
seek both Russian friendship (or at least neutrality) and other
distractions for Russia in the North to encourage the granting of that
friendship.

Germany is in the most uncomfortable position, as there are distinct
threats from both the East (A Lvn) and West (A Bur).  A stalwart
German player would attempt to play for three builds anyway, and seek
to secure those builds diverting France away by any diplomatic means
available (some possible dishonest) and by offering England support
into Sweden in 1902.  A cautious player will concede Denmark to England
in order to divert Russia and concentrate German forces against the
French threat.  Berlin's neighbors will not hesitate to offer their
advice: Vienna and London will lobby for the cautious course, while
St. Petersburg and Paris will seek to encourage German optimism.
Rome and Constantinople are probably unsure which they will prefer,
with Rome leaning towards German caution and Constantinople towards 
German aggressiveness.

Finally, England will probably try to persuade the Germans to yield
Denmark.  If that fails, England will threaten to support France in
Belgium and raise the spectre of an Anglo-Franco-Russian alliance.
It will probably succeed, as Germany is very much aware that all three
countries possess the necessary diplomatic latitude to engage in such
a campaign.  If not done with an overly heavy hand, Germany can likely
be persuaded to throw herself into the arms of the power that least
threatens her.

					David Rubin
			{allegra|astrovax|princeton}!fisher!david

speegle@ut-ngp.UTEXAS (Charles R. Speegle) (08/09/85)

*** REPLACE THIS LINE WITH YOUR MESSAGE ***
	In reference to fisher's analysis of the game, sounds good 
except for one thing Russia and Turkey can't talk.  My opening move
was intended to aggravate no one since I can't seem to get a two way 
path going except with England and France.  

	Turkey(maybe now I feel like one)
                      Charles R. Speegle      (Charlie)
              -)------                                 ------(-
Let's argue over a point ;-)
speegle@ut-ngp.ARPA
{allegra,ihnp4}!ut-ngp!speegle