[net.sport.baseball] expecting certain pitches

rolandp@tekgds.UUCP (Roland E. Parenteau) (09/22/83)

major league teams keep track of every pitch to every hitter: what pitch was
thrown, where it was thrown, where it was hit, etc.  The job of keeping this
chart customarily goes to the next game's starting pitcher, since he'll be
the guy who will most likely benefit from it.  (I read about this in a book
about sports statistics, but the title and author escape me; the author was
a sportswriter for one of the New York dailies, I recall.  Anybody remember
the book?)

Times I have found you can definitely "expect" certain pitches:

- when the runner on base is a threat to steal, expect more
  fastballs, especially when the pitcher is behind in the count.
  That's the big advantage of speed, in my opinion; pitchers 
  can't throw as much off-speed stuff when the runner can go;

- when Reggie Jackson has two strikes on him, expect a fastball 
  up around his eyes.  You can also expect him to swing and miss.
  (Two thousand strikeouts have got to prove something!);

- when Dave Winfield or Pete Rose are up, I can't think of any
  pitch I'd care to throw or any place to put the ball that would
  be safe.  Does anybody have any idea what the "book" is on these
  guys?

Go Red Sox!  (Wait until next year...)

		-- Roland Parenteau,
			decvax!tektronix!tekgds!rolandp