human-nets@ucbvax.ARPA (10/12/84)
From: Charles McGrew (The Moderator) <Human-Nets-Request@Rutgers> HUMAN-NETS Digest Thursday, 11 Oct 1984 Volume 7 : Issue 58 Today's Topics: Query - White House Email, Response to Query - The Size of the Internet (2 msgs), Computers and People - Flaming & Electronic Decision Making & Working at Home (5 msgs), Chess - Chess and Planning ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 11 Oct 84 12:00:00 edt From: Charles <mcgrew@rutgers> Subject: The Delphi Chess Game Hi, I received a number of responses to my message last issue about the inclusion of the Delphi Chess experiment, and I've decided based on those to compromise: I will only include the final message on the game when its done, but for anyone who wishes to receive the messages on the game that cannot get them any other way, I will redistribute the ones I get from Stuart Mclure. So, anyone who wants to still get the mail for the Delphi experiment should mail me and I'll put you on that list. Thanks, Charles ------------------------------ Date: Wed 10 Oct 84 09:24:02-EDT From: Janet Asteroff <US.JFA%CU20B@COLUMBIA> Subject: White House Email Reply-to: us.jfa%cu20b@columbia-20.arpa I am looking for references to articles or information on the use of electronic mail in the White House/executive branch. I have seen a few popular articles on it, but none with any substance. I know they are using some special service of Compuserve, but would like to find out how it was initiated, who uses it, and for what, and what are the future plans. Any references to in-depth articles, or any other information, would be appreciated. thanks /Janet (us.jfa%cu20b@columbia-20.arpa) ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Oct 84 01:50:10 edt From: bedford!bandy@mit-eddie To: TMPLee@mit-multics Subject: HUMAN-NETS Digest V7 #57 Date: Mon, 8 Oct 84 14:28 EDT From: TMPLee@MIT-MULTICS.ARPA Has anyone ever made an estimate (with error bounds) of how many people have electronic mailboxes reachable via the Internet? (e.g., ARPANET, MILNET, CHAOSNET, DEC ENET, Xerox, USENET, CSNET, BITNET, and any others gatewayed that I've probably overlooked?) (included in that of course group mailboxes, even though they are a poor way of doing business.) Gee, my big chance to make a bunch of order of magnitude calculations.... just /how/ many piano tuners are in Chicago, anyway? USENET/DEC ENET: 10k machines, probably on the order of 40 regular users for the unix machines and 20 for the "other" machines so that's 100k users right there. BITNET: something like 100 machines and they're university machines in general, which implies that they're HEAVILY overloaded, 100-200 regular active users for each machine - 10k users. Chaos: about 100-300 machines, 10 users per machine (yes, oz and ee are heavily overloaded at times, but then there's all those unused vaxen on the 9th floor of ne43). 1k users for chaosnet. I think that we can ignore csnet here (they're all either on usenet or directly on internet anyway...), so they count for zero. ARPA/MILNET: Hmm... This one is a little tougher (I'm going to include the 'real' internet as a whole here), but as I remember, there are about 1k hosts. Now, some of the machines here are heavily used (maryland is the first example that pops to mind) and some have moderate loads (daytime - lots of free hardware at 5am!), let's say about 40 regular users per machine -- another 10k users. I dare not give a guesstimate for Xerox. So it's something on the order of 100k users for the community. Hm. That's half the population of the country (there are people in other countries that are trivially mailable to, but there aren't all that many of them). Well, it could be 50k people, but these >are< order of magnitude calculations... Now that I've stuck my neck out giving these estimates, I'm awaiting for it to be chopped off. andy beals bandy@{mit-mc,lll-crg} ------------------------------ Date: 10 October 1984 03:24-EDT From: Jerry E. Pournelle <POURNE @ MIT-MC> Subject: Size of the Internet To: TMPLee @ MIT-MULTICS about three years ago someone, I believe PDL estimated the size of the universe at about 30,000; I may remember incorrectly since I did not write it down and i have a notoriously bad head for numbers. ------------------------------ From: pur-ee!ef.malcolm@Berkeley (Malcolm Slaney) Date: 9 Oct 1984 2330-EST (Tuesday) To: poskanzer.pa@xerox.ARPA Subject: Re: The New York Times on Flaming That article on flaming was wonderful....I had noticed the same phenomenon but don't understand why it happens more with electronic mail. Does somebody have access to the people at Carnegie-Mellon and can keep the list up to date on their ideas? Malcolm ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Oct 84 18:03:11 EDT From: Brint <abc@BRL-TGR.ARPA> Subject: Electronic Decision Making This topic is motivated by the recent item on "flaming." More intriguing, however, is consideration of distributed decision making as studied by those examining "flaming" or why people are more impolite and frank at the terminal than they are in person. (Obviously, one reason is because it's easier to insult someone if you're not looking him/her directly in the eye!) Beyond this, however, considering the possibilities in distributed decisionmaking are staggering, to say the least. I've reacted to a few excerpts from the digest article to illustrate: ---------------------------------- Excerpt: ...In the experiments, ... people "talking" by computer took longer to agree, and their final decisions tended to involve more risks than those reached by groups meeting in person. Reaction: Relative to what? As I write this, the U.S. Congress is passing their fourth or fifth "temporary funding" bill to keep the government (and my salary) going for another day or two. I cannot imagine how it would have taken any longer to finish the FY-85 budget if every voter in the U.S. participated in the debate via Usenet! Excerpt: As small computers proliferate, business discussions that were once pursued face-to-face, by telephone or on paper are now taking place by way of keyboards and video display terminals. Reaction: This obviates the need for "quorum calls" or for a designated set of people to be in the same place at the same time. It provides, in human interactions, the same kind of asynchronous buffering that allows multiuser computers to achieve efficient resource sharing. Excerpt: The unusual characteristics showing up in computer communications should not be seen as entirely negative, say the researchers. "This is unusual group democracy," said Sara Kiesler, a psychologist at Carnegie-Mellon. "There is less of a tendency for one person to dominate the conversation, or for others to defer to the one with the highest status." Reaction: The relevance of these comments to the U.S. Congress is staggering in its implications! Imagine if there were less of a tendency for one committee chair or powerful politician to dominate while others defer! Excerpt: The company studies also indicate that computers are permitting much wider participation in discussions than in the past, with employees far from headquarters now able to follow debates and make their views known. Reaction: Then, might not computers permit wider participation in democratic government by the voters, themselves? After all, did we not formulate a representative democracy as a means of overcoming transportation and communication problems otherwise inherent in an 18th century self-governing nation? ------------------------------------------------------------------- I am led to ponder an inescapable thought: that technology is now in hand which permits the United States to be truly self-governing. I do not argue that this would be good or bad or that it would produce a better or worse system of governance than we now use. But, technically, it is feasible, and, as more people realize this, we shall be forced to evaluate alternatives. Thanks for "listening" Regards, Brint Cooper (301) 278-6883 AV: 283-6883 FTS: 939-6883 ArpaNet: abc@brl UUCP: ...!{decvax,cbosgd}!brl-bmd!abc Postal: Dr Brinton Cooper U.S. Army Ballistic Research Laboratory Attn: AMXBR-SECAD (Cooper) Aberdeen Proving Ground, Md 21005 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Oct 84 10:55 EST From: Steven Gutfreund <gutfreund%umass-cs.csnet@csnet-relay.arpa> To: rex%minow.dec%decwrl.arpa@csnet-relay.arpa Cc: leichter%yale.arpa@csnet-relay.arpa Subject: Re: Homework 1. I think it is merely an anachranism (sp?) that one only finds menial tasks being done at home, there is no reason why heavy technological tasks can't be done at home. 2. I find the actual act of creative work to be very personal, and not social. I have to work out the concepts myself. THEN later I use the social environment of work to discover overlooked objections and to clarify the presentation of the ideas. (as for typing at a terminal, it is a very anti-social activity - I could certainly do it at home). * Conclusion - Few would suggest removing completely the enhanced social network avaialble via work, but its role will decrease in the future. When you compute the total societal costs of 30 minute commutes, parking-lots, buildings that are vacant 2/3 of the day, life-support systems (vending machines , cafeterias) you realize that we are paying too much for an enhanced social network that can be arrived at via alternative (cheaper) methods. - Steven Gutfreund (hey martin, you have all sorts of interesting people stopping by your house, why are you complaining?) ------------------------------ Date: Sat 6 Oct 84 15:05:12-PDT From: Richard Treitel <TREITEL@SUMEX-AIM.ARPA> Subject: Re: working at home And what will the AFL-CIO's position be when a company provides its programmers with both a well-equipped office and a terminal to take home, and tells them to use whichever they prefer on any given day? - Richard ------------------------------ Date: 9 October 1984 05:24-EDT From: Jerry E. Pournelle <POURNE @ MIT-MC> Subject: homework To: Gail.Kaiser @ CMU-CS-A WHAT ever happened to FREEDOM? What the hell business is it of you or a union or anyone else where I work or wat I work at so long as I am not doing something harmful? Of course those women making ski caps at home are obviusly antisocial enemies of the people. ------------------------------ Date: 10 October 1984 03:30-EDT From: Jerry E. Pournelle <POURNE @ MIT-MC> Subject: unions and home work To: DIETTERICH @ SUMEX-AIM as former President of a writer's association (not a union, but we did represent our members in grievances) I am not always against voluntary collective association of workers; indeed, what people want to do shoould govern their associations. But to use the power of the state to prevent people from working at home, or up a tree, or ina pond, or in their car seems to me a thorough misunderstanding of the purpose of association and government. ------------------------------ Date: Wednesday, 10 Oct 1984 14:44:54-PDT From: redford%shorty.DEC@decwrl.ARPA (John Redford) To: jlr%shorty.DEC@decwrl.ARPA Subject: Re: advantages of telecommuting I work in an engineering group where everyone is given home graphics terminals and 1200 baud modems, and the company pays the phone charges. The company's investment has been paid back many times by the extra work that people have put in on weekends and evenings. And yet, true telecommuting is non-existent in our group. Everyone comes in at some time during the day even though they have good access to the main machines and their mail programs. The reason becomes clear when you look at what kind of work people do at home. They start up simulation runs, or briefly examine results, or do minor schematic edits, or write programs for their own use. In other words, they do things that don't require communicating with their fellow workers. As soon as you need to discuss something with someone, the limits of mail and the terminal phone programs become obvious. They are slower than speech, you can't draw any diagrams, and you can't both go look at some piece of equipment that is not connected to the computer. Mail is fine if the recipient can take quite a while to respond (eg hours or days), but not so good if you need a response immediately. So working at home is really only practical if you know just what you have to do for the next few days. As soon as you need to talk to someone, you're frustrated by the limited communication possible through the machine. Knowing just what you have to do is relatively unusual in our kind of work (VLSI design). The problems are too complex to be managed by one person. In fact, if someone in the group has not been in touch for two or three weeks, you can be sure that she or he has gone off in the wrong direction. It's true that you can get more done without the distractions of an office, but that doesn't help if you don't know what to do or are doing the wrong things. John Redford ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Oct 84 21:07:34 edt From: krovetz@nlm-mcs (Bob Krovetz) Subject: chess and planning A very nice paper on a program that uses planning in making chess moves is: "Using Patterns and Plans in Chess", Dave Wilkins, Artificial Intelligence, Vol. 14, 1980. The program is called PARADISE, and has found a mate that was 19 ply deep! -Bob (Krovetz@NLM-MCS) ------------------------------ End of HUMAN-NETS Digest ************************