[net.math] A few last words on the quiz paradox

lew@ihuxr.UUCP (09/16/83)

I can except the explanation of the surprize quiz/unexpected hanging
"pseudo-paradox" that Jerry Leichter gave. I assume this is the canonical
explanation. I would only note that it hinges on the meaning of "know",
as Jerry indeed explicitly stated. When I reformulated the problem I was
attempting to avoid the involvement of the prisoner/students mental state
by substituting "infer" for "know". Note that when Monty Ellis challenged
anyone to come up with a way to DETERMINE that the quiz would be on (say)
the 15th, he changed the language that he had just reworded himself. That
the INFERENCE can be formed is the basis of the original paradox.

If you finally nail the formulation down so that it is undeniably self-
contradictory, all you are left with is that every finite sequence must
have a last element. The paradoxical statement is, "The quiz cannot
possibly occur on the last day that it can possibly occur." I hope
no one will argue that this is not a self-contradiction.

A more prosaic, but really quite clever resolution of the paradox (in its
quiz form) was suggested by C. J. Holzwarth. The teacher can give
a "pseudo-quiz" every day, with one of them being the real quiz. This
obviously wouldn't work for the hanging! This is just like a fable where
an elf promises not to remove a marker from a tree where a treasure
is hidden, but he places identical markers on every tree in the forest.
 
		Lew Mammel, Jr. ihuxr!lew 

leichter@yale-com.UUCP (Jerry Leichter) (09/16/83)

Using "infer" in place of "know" has no real effect on Quine's "disolution"
of the paradox; you simply have to examine what "infer" ought to mean.  If
"infer" is to be understood to mean "can derive by a correct proof technique"
then the "you can't pick your postulates" argument is quite valid, and you
don't have a correct inference, and you can be hung any morning.  If "infer"
means "can give a plausible sounding argument for", well, plausibility then
becomes the whole issue and obviously the teacher/judge will chose not to
find your argument "plausible", and you still get nowhere.  (If he chooses
to call your argument plausible, and accepts this interpretation of the word
"infer", then he is simply admitting that he lied to begin with.)
							-- Jerry
					decvax!yale-comix!leichter leichter@yale

jim@ism780.UUCP (Jim Balter) (09/17/83)

If the professor says she will give a quiz and it definitely will not
occur on the last day that it can possibly occur, and she gives it mid-term,
so what?  That obviously wasn't the last day it could possibly occur.
You have yet to show a valid induction indicating any real paradox.

Re the pseudo-quiz "resolution": you may have a problem, but the professor
does not, so there is no need for such resolutions.  Besides, is a
pseudo-quiz really a quiz for some propositions but not one for others?
I think Quine has got you (and no doubt most of the rest of us) beat.

Jim Balter (decvax!yale-co!ima!jim), Interactive Systems Corp

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