poli-sci@ucbvax.ARPA (05/17/85)
From: JoSH <JoSH@RUTGERS.ARPA> Poli-Sci Digest Fri 17 May 85 Volume 5 Number 20 Contents: MOVE Vietnam Divestment Comparable Worth Driving ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 16 May 85 08:25:18 PDT From: Richard Foy <foy@AEROSPACE.ARPA> Subject: Philadelphia The MOVE should bring out some interesting comments. I feel sorry for Mayor Goode being black and having to make the decisions which he was presented with. [I have several observations: In the clip from WCAU's camera-on-a-pole it is obvious that the flames sprang up the instant after the blast, a fact that Phil. officials were denying for at least a day afterward. Secondly, it seems culpably negligent not to have turned the water cannons back on for an hour after it started. Third, and this is a scoop for Poli-Sci: A friend who lives in the area knows someone in the insurance business there, who said that the city government was inquiring among the companies as to which houses in the neighborhood had fire coverage, *a week before the attack*. --JoSH] ------------------------------ Date: Tuesday, 14 May 1985 12:44-EDT From: rrd@Mitre-Bedford Subject: Vietnam Re Hank Walker's message in Digest 18 on Harry Summer's l982 book on Vietnam. It is too bad that Hank's knowledge of the SEAsia was doesn't go back beyond the early 70's because that was the time the US had made the decision to wind down and get out. The build-up started in the spring and summer of 1965, although we started to beef up the advisory effort in early l962. The Karnow book of a couple years ago, the one which was used as the basis for the TV series on Vietnam, except for a couple of spots where the author gets a bit emotional, is a pretty comphrehensive treatment of the SEAsia bit, going back to the beginnings of it all in WWII - the last war in which it was our clear objective to WIN. (Anyone out there fail to understand what "unconditional surrender" was supposed to have met?) A few comments and nit noi's on Hank's remarks. Summers has gained the reputation in the Army for being a forward thinker. The US did not "violate all the rules of war" - as a matter of fact we hamstrung ourselves trying to abide by the rules of war, a la the Geneva conventions. What we did violate was most of the nine principles of war spelled out by Karl von Clausewitz, especially the biggie "OBJECTIVE" - spelled out in terms that everyone could understand. For those of us who went to Vietnam, there was always a clear distinction between VC and NVA, the latter being the nom de guerre for regular forces from the North. (Of course, there were several breeds of VC, too. There was the infrastructure, the rear services, and the combat forces. Among the latter were local, provincial, and main force units.) I, personally, agree with Summers that the press didn't lose the war - but, I believe they did create the environment in which it was lost. They created an environment in which it was difficult for the political leadership to remain resolute. It has been a couple of years since I read "On Strategy", but I recall I had a basic hangup with it then and Hank's remarks brought it back. The book deals mostly with the Army perspective of the SEAsian conflict. All five of the uniformed services fought there, from just about the first day to the last. When I went to Vietnam the first time, as a young major, I thought our goals were noble and just. I still think they were, but they lacked substance in which to sink one's teeth. What was wrong with the goals, as stated way back then, was they lacked the essential ingredient - to WIN a victory, both political and military, that was tangible. A point of clarification - the COMUSMACV's, in order, were Harkins, Westmoreland, Abrams, and Weyand. If memory serves me correctly, they all served concurrently as COMUSARV - the commander of the Army component in country. I see nothing in the command relationship of COMUSMACV reporting to CINCPAC that indicates that to be a "peacetime" relationship as Hank suggests. In my view, there were three (or four if you count Cambodia) wars going on out there - one in the North, one in Laos, and one in South Vietnam. COMUSMAVC's principal job was running the US side of the one in the South and insuring that US forces didn't get crossways with the GVN forces running their war on the same ground. CINCPAC's job was running the SEAsia sub-theater, with the rest of his theater, and integrating SEasia operations into the whole. In summary, I think Summer's book is a good analysis, but I think that the Hank's out there would be ahead if they undertook a study of a comprehensive history before delving into analyses, however good. Seems like the ol' cart and horse routine. Bob Darron at MITRE-BEDFORD ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 May 85 10:53:49 pdt From: upstill%ucbdegas@Berkeley (Steve Upstill) Subject: Re: divestment legal? In response to the message questioning the legality of demands for divestment: I speak as the husband of a consulting actuary. My wife deals with public retirement boards as the main part of her work. The issue of divestment from South Africa has been raised repeatedly over the past few years. There is certainly a legal issue, particularly wrt the public funds (in California, at least) in general and the UC Board of Regents in particular: the law states explicitly that they are to buy/sell only to maximize the profit of the pension fund. Furthermore, the board members are, believe it or not, PERSONALLY LIABLE for any losses incurred as a result of variance from this policy, in California. There is a recent case supporting this. I'm not even sure good faith has anything to do with it. However, I would question the assumption that the stocks at issue here (let's call them the PI, for politically incorrect, stocks, as opposed to the PC stocks, with an appreciation for irony) are inherently more profitable than more PC stocks. For example, there is a trust fund, the Ready Assets trust, which explicitly deals only in PC issues, and has a performance which is just as good as less restrained funds. Secondly, it is not clear that PI stocks will continue to be a good investment. If you think about it, you realize how incredibly clever the issue of divestment is, in terms of a small number of people (call them crazies if you like) having a great effect. They may force the University of California to divest, maybe several hundred million dollars worth. Suppose, as a result of these pressures, PI stocks lose in demand. Then any retirement board which wishes to maximize its return MUST divest, BY LAW. If you think a little further, you realize that you don't even have to reduce the demand directly; all you have to do is create the PERCEPTION that the demand is being reduced, and the demand WILL be reduced. It's just the phenomenon of investor panic. In this case, which seems more plausible by the day, it's the retirement boards which don't divest which will be liable. At any rate, as a retirement board member, you don't even need faith in the onset of this perception of desertion; all you need is a reasonable belief that it will occur. And as I say, I think it's getting more reasonable all the time. The issue is gathering this moral cloud which is tainting all businesses with holdings in South Africa (whether or not they attend to the Sullivan Principles or not, unfortunately). What will happen next is anybody's guess. Steve Upstill [Oh, yeah, one other thing. A South African black living on Osage (in Phillie) was quoted (on CBS) as saying "it's just like South Africa". I'm expectantly waiting for the storm of protest urging divestment in all companies that do business in Philidelphia... --JoSH] ------------------------------ Date: Tue 14 May 85 23:16:39-EDT From: Bard Bloom <BARD@MIT-XX.ARPA> Subject: Disinvestment I've heard recently that South Africa is protecting itself against disinvestment by nationalizing everything left by companies that leave South Africa. If this is true, it sounds like a strong argument against disinvestment (which is what S.Africa intended). They won't necessarily lose the business; I daresay that third-country businesses would be quite glad to buy the ex-U.S. plants and such, contributing even more money to the South African state. Also, I rather doubt that the workers in those plants would be covered by the Sullivan thing any more, so they'd be worse off. Any good counter-arguments? -- Bard -- ------------------------------ Date: 15 May 85 19:21 EDT From: RMXJARTJ%CORNELLA.BITNET@Berkeley Subject: In reply to King @ Kestrel.arpa letter of 09 May 1985 I would like to respond to Dick King's letter on "whose money is it, anyway?" A good example regarding pension funds would be that of the NYCERS - New York City [Employee Retirement System - I think]. The Board of Trustees of NYCERS are charged with handling the money in a fiscally responsible fashion - which means that a profit should be made. NYCERS introduced an identical proxy issue at the annual meetings of both Ford and General Motors in the past 2 weeks. The assumption that Dick made was that other stocks are suboptimal investments because they don't have an extension in South Africa. (that wasn't exactly it, but the inference was there.) My initial guess is that there are no court-related precedents dealing with this issue. If there are, I'd be interested in knowing about them. I would take issue with the statement that the brokerage fees for the turnover of stocks plus the presumably lower rate of return would lessen one's pension. First of all, in pension funds, brokerage fees are built into the system. If a pension fund is going to dis-invest from companies doing business in South Africa, it is going to do it slowly (or in whatever fashion it usually does when it sells a stock.) When it buys other securities, the main difference (I've found) is that they have a higher risk - which means that you have to watch them closer - unlike stocks like GM, IBM, etc. These type of securities also tend to be on the Over-The-Counter exchange. So, actually, the rate of return is high - but the investment is risky - which means closer monitoring is called for. It should be carefully noted that I take no stand on the issue - not from being uninformed, but because of my affiliation with the Civil Liberties Union, I am only allowed to be an observer....and there is a lot to observe here at Cornell! I would be happy to clarify some of my statements above if they need it (I'm too tired to tell.) Regards, -- Gligor Tashkovich Student/Government Major RMXJARTJ%CORNELLA.BITNET@BERKELEY.ARPA ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 May 1985 16:36 EDT From: Dean Sutherland <Sutherland@TL-20A.ARPA> Subject: comparable worth A flame on the subject of comparable worth: (This note was inspired by a conversation I had with two female employees in the employee lounge here at Tartan.) The discussion so far (paraphrased, of course): Me: Comparable worth is a disaster. They: Comparable worth is an interesting new idea in the fight to gain equality for women and other minorities. Me: My biggest problem with comparable worth is that it would have the government set wages; I believe that is VERY dangerous. There is also the question of who decides which jobs are comparable. They: Try being a single mother trying to raise children. Also observe that one of the traditional ways of bringing about change is to push for more than you really wanted in hopes of getting part of it. (There was much more than this. In general, however, I felt that their arguments were better than mine. As a result, I went and did some research.) The usual argument for comparable worth seems to go like this: Women are as intelligent and as competent as men. By law, they cannot be refused employment on account of their sex, nor be paid less than men for the same work. Why, then, do they earn, on average, only 59% as much as men do? Because they are sytematically segregated in jobs which are traditionally performed mainly by females -- like nurses, secretaries, and librarians -- and which, therefore, are traditionally underpaid. Half of all working women are relegated to jobs which are at least 70% female, and about one fifth are in jobs that are 90% female. The proposed solution is to force business to pay equal wages for jobs of "comparable worth". Thus an employer could no longer get away with paying his female receptionists less than his male janitors unless he could demonstrate that anwering phones demands less skill, effort and responsibility than mopping floors. On another side of the issue are the following arguments: The argument given above seems to assume that employers can arbitrarily decide to pay women less than they are worth, ie. that wages are set at the whim of employers. It seems to me that one can't pay people less than supply and demand mandates; if you tried your employees would quickly leave for higher paying jobs. In addition, why would employers magnanimously pay men MORE than they have to; after all, if wages are arbitrarily set they could just pay the men less also. The market provides a natural floor on wages -- the "market value" of a job. Some proponents of comparable worth seem to believe that a job has an @i(inherent) worth, irrespective of the market. In other words, they seem to believe that values are intrinsic, that things have a price even if no one is willing to pay it, that there can be values without valuers. The "true" worth of a job, which may go unpercieved by those who pay for it, must therfore be ascertained by government revelation -- which the non-perceivers must be @i(forced) to accept. The method which is most commonly suggested for determining which jobs are comparable to each other is point system. Under such a system points are awarded for different job criteria such as the skill, effort, and responsibility required by the job, as well as the working conditions under which the job is performed. Jobs with the same number of points are considered to be of equal worth. Do jobs really have an @u(intrinsic) value irrespective of the market? A value which can be determined by using job evaluation systems? Certainly an employer values the labor of his employees more than he values the wage he pays. The employee, on the other hand, values the wage more than he values his time and effort. If this were not the case, trade between them would not have taken place. When trade does take place, both people feel that they are better off; each has traded something of less value for something of greater value. Once again, do jobs really have an intrinsic value, or can the value of a job only be determined subjectively depending on the circumstances? Consider the situation of a man stranded on a deserted island. The day before he was stranded, his circumstances and ideas may have led him to value the services of a tailor very highly. However, once he is stranded, he no longer cares so much if his clothes fit well. He may now be willing to trade the services of fifty tailors for the services of one boat builder. As a consumer, the man stranded on the deserted island has determined the value he places on the services of a boat builder, as well as his value of any person the boat builder might employ. However, not only do wage differentials between jobs reflect the values consumers place on the contributions workers make to the final product but they also depend upon the scarcity of qualified workers relative to the demand for their contributions. Employees who have skills, experience, abilities, and contributions needed by an entrepeneur, and who are also scarce relative to demand will be paid higher wages. In a recent court decision, the American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) won a major lawsuit against the state of Washington. Using a point system similar to the one described above, AFSCME introduced evidence that positions such as that of clerk-typist should be paid the same hourly wage rate as that of warehouse workers. Judge Jack Tanner ruled that wages in "female occupations" be increased, not that wages in "male occupations" be lowered. [1] With such a comparable worth policy, what would happen if supply and demand conditions were to drive up the wages in one particular occupation? If, say, there is a sudden shortage (relative to demand) of warehouse workers in Washington, causing wages to rise at a greater-than-normal rate, should clerk-typists automatically recieve the increased wage simply because their occupation is determined to be of comparable worth? A common arguments against permitting the forces of supply and demand to set wages. Some contend that prevailing wages are aproduct of employers past discriminatory practices. A successful businessman (in a free market) can only be concerned with the present and the future. The value of something yesterday is meaningless today. Businessmen value the factors of production, including labor, avialable in the present in accordance with these factors' anticipated services in the future production of consumer goods. I believe that a free market will tend to discourage discrimination. Even a free market, however, will have its share of irrational and/or ignorant people who refuse to believe that women can do anything but cook dinner and change diapers. This sort of mental lethargy is a barrier faced by anything new -- from the wheel to airplane travel. If the market is genuinely free, the irrational will not prevail. They are repudiated daily by intelligent profit seekers ready to make lucrative use of female workers, female suppliers, and female customers. No laws were needed, for example, to counter the fearful hostility engendered by the introduction of trains or electricity or automobiles. Women, too, require only the political freedom to demonstrate their market value -- not the political power to compel acknowledgement of that value. Proponents of comparable worth do not seem to want this freedom. They don't want to have to persuade businesses to hire women or to raise their salaries. Consider their normal answer to the following question: If women's jobs are underpaid, why don't women leave for the higher-paying, "comparable" jobs? An Equal Oportunity Employment Commision report explains that "while the opportunity to move out of segregated job categories may be welcome to many women, many others, who have invested considerable time in training for their jobs, demand wage adjustment in 'women's jobs' rather than opportunities to work in other jobs" [2]. In other words, many people feel that employers should be forced to demand whatever skills, experience, or abilities these women may already have. This would be the same as forcing consumers to purchase products they do not want simply because these products are already on the market. If that were the case, entrepeneurs would have little incentive to create new, more innovative products; consumers would have to buy what the producers are already selling. This is precisely the effect a comparable worth policy would have upon women. They would no longer have the incentive to better themselves, to learn new skills that are actually in greater demand. With this lack of incentive, wage rates would be likely to decrease rather than rise. For example, the judge in the AFSCME v. State of Washington case ruled that wages in "female occupations" be increased. This decision is likely to increase the incentives of women to keep entering these "female occupations" and therefore create an oversupply in these jobs. In effect, comparable worth policies encourage women to stay where they are, instead of pursuing better jobs and showing that they can indeed perform them. They are told not to bother learning the skills which are in greater demand, but to remain behind their typewriters and switchboards and to strive for bigger "true-worth" paychecks by suing their bosses. This kind of advice only reinforces the idea that women are unambitious and less capable than men. The very women who are trying to shed this image are actually demonstrating that they agree with it by arguing that women will "never get anywhere" without the help of government. In summary, wage rates are ultimately determined by the subjective values of consumers. These values cannot be objectified by using job-evaluation point systems. Only individual consumers can compare the worth of a job with the worth of any other job. They do this whenever they coose to buy one product over another. Through their actions in the market, consumers signal employers as to which employees they value highest. These employees will rightfully command higher wages. A comparable-worth policy would mean a great reduction in consumer sovereignity. Any information the market would provide through changes in prices and wages would be greatly distorted. The economic consequences, therefore, would be severe shortages in some occupations and an excess supply in others. Overall economic activity would decline not only because of these market distortions, but also because many women who could have made innovative and creative contributions to the economy would be deprived of the incentive to do so. If many women are trying to gain the opportunity for individual choice, a comparable worth policy, or any other government legislation is not the answer. Women's opportunities and choice depend on the amount of freedom they have. Only an unhampered market will provide them with the individual choices they desire and the freedom to make them. References: [1] AFSCME vs State of Washington. [2] Committee on Occupational Classification and Analysis, "Women, Work, and Wages: Equal Pay for Jobs of Equal Value" (Washington DC: National Academy Press, 1981) p. 2. Note: most of this post was paraphrased [cribbed?] (plagiarized???) {STOLEN????} from two main sources: 1) POLICY ANALYSIS #38 may 31, 1984. "Value and Opportunity: The Issue of Comparable Pay for Comparable Worth" by Deborah Walker, Cato Institue, 224 Second t. SE, Washington D.C., 20003 and 2) "The Intellectual Activist" 131 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10003 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 May 85 08:23:40 PDT From: Richard Foy <foy@AEROSPACE.ARPA> Subject: Driving Deaths I wonder if anyone has made a study of how many driving deaths are totally or partially caused by other bad driving practices beside driving while under the influebnce. Canditates causes (at least on Los Angeles freeways) are; following too closely; changing lanes without adaquete clearance; speeding defined as exceeding the normal traffic speed rather than the speed limit, etc. I suspect from the close calls I see that these are also a major cause of traffic deaths. What causes the multiple car rear enders that we have? ------------------------------ End of POLI-SCI Digest - 30 - -------